417
submitted 9 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[-] [email protected] 3 points 9 months ago

You’ve also ruled out TH by knowing one is heads. So the only possibilities are HT and HH. Is that not 50/50?

[-] [email protected] 3 points 9 months ago

At least one is heads, but unless you know which one it is, you haven't ruled out HT or TH

[-] [email protected] 7 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

But you do know which one it is, because you said "other child". As soon as you ask the question, you assign a specific outcome to a specific child eliminating HH and HT (or in the new example, BB and BG). "What are the odds they have a female child" and "what are the odds the other child is female" are not the same question.

[-] [email protected] 3 points 9 months ago

it depends on how you know this information. did you look at one of the coins? then it's 50/50. did you ask a friend to look and yell you whether at least one of them is heads? then it's 2/3.

this post was submitted on 03 Dec 2023
417 points (100.0% liked)

196

16240 readers
1814 users here now

Be sure to follow the rule before you head out.

Rule: You must post before you leave.

^other^ ^rules^

founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS