this post was submitted on 16 Jan 2024
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Huge losses from national disasters prompt industry to jack up prices and pull back from some markets; ‘worst possible scenario’ for consumers

After Allstate suffered billions of dollars in losses and failed to get the rate increases it wanted, it resorted to the nuclear option. 

The insurance giant threatened last fall to stop renewing auto insurance for customers in three states that hadn’t given in to its demands, which would have left those policyholders scrambling for coverage. The states blinked.

In December, New Jersey approved auto rate increases for Allstate averaging 17%, and New York, a 15% hike. Regulators in California are allowing Allstate to boost auto rates by 30%, but still haven’t decided on its request for a 40% increase in home-insurance rates after the insurer refused to write new policies.

For many Americans, getting insurance for both their cars and homes has gone from a routine, generally manageable expense to a do-or-die ordeal that can strain household budgets.

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[–] [email protected] 182 points 9 months ago (10 children)

Maybe it's time for a state to start a nonprofit insurance fund? Insurance companies exist only for profit, which is antithetical to the point of insurance.

[–] [email protected] 40 points 9 months ago

You egomaniac! Don't you ever think of the shareholders? Monster!

[–] [email protected] 34 points 9 months ago (1 children)

This doesn't address the core issue, that the math simply doesn't work in several places. Even ignoring profit, at the very least, you have to balance your payouts with your premium revenue, and if your payouts are so high that premiums must be higher than what people can afford, then you're toast.

Or you invoke government subsidies, in which case it's essentially a tax to subsidize people's poor decision making. At the end of the day, living in an area extremely prone to fires or flooding has real costs, and either somebody pays them, whether that be the individual, an insurance pool, or the government, or you simply stop incurring the cost by moving somewhere else (there's a strong argument for some amount of government assistance here)

[–] [email protected] 24 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (4 children)

I'm not suggesting we stop at nonprofit insurance. We can use the data so states can determine regions that are unfit for human habitation, which will become necessary due to climate change. A state-ran insurance could still have risk pools as well for matters like house and car insurance, without nonsense like charging charging more for owners of red cars.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 9 months ago (2 children)

I mean, there's no mystery here. You can literally just look at the regions that home insurers have been pulling out of to get a pretty good start. This data already exists. Collecting and processing that data is literally the primary thing that insurance companies do.

If a company whose sole purpose is extracting every bit of profit they can is deciding that insuring an area is not feasible, that probably says something. The inevitable, but obviously unpopular, answer is that there are some places where people moving there need to do so at their own risk, because it's not fair for them to throw these fundamentally unnecessary high costs on other people. Minus a small adjustment to account for how state insurance doesn't need profit and so can operate at zero margin, the structure of the insurance doesn't really make a difference here.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 9 months ago (5 children)

People moving into areas of high risk are only a tiny portion of the problem. The existing owners, and their kids, are already too much risk for a lot of places. Hundreds of thousands of retiree's already live in beach front condos that have been there for 30 years or more, and they have no way to move. There are millions more in similar places, that just have to accept whatever happens to them, because they have no resources to move, and a fixed or non existent income.

That problem is going to be the biggest one when dealing with climate change as a species. Moving hundreds of millions of people, who can't afford to move, to places that don't want them to move there. Interspersed with random natural catastrophes causing horrible loss of lives and resources.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 9 months ago (1 children)

I have always thought that the people you are talking about should be able to get insurance, maybe even at a reasonable rate, but if/when a natural disaster occurs the insurance payout should be for a property/place not in a high risk zone rather than rebuilding, and that land should then be disallowed for human habitation.

Basically a compromise of sorts. I'm sure someone will tell me why I'm wrong though, lol.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago

In some places that's exactly what has been done. Usually the government uses eminent domain on the land rather than allow reconstruction. The problem being the cost. Most cities and states would have nowhere near enough money to move a fraction of the homes in danger, or even pay for their relocation when they're destroyed.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago

While sea levels rising may be something that someone 30 years ago didn't predict, most of the other risks were well known 200 years ago.

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago (2 children)

I don't think that there is an inherent link between profit and safety, so I'm hesitant to call their data useful for determining where a place is safe to live. Maybe useful for determining risk pools, but not for determining safety. There are places that should not be habitated, but it shouldn't be determined by capital interests.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 9 months ago

I'm not talking about raw safety. I'm referring to the situation where the average costs a resident of the area will incur due to environmental damage surpasses the amount an average person is willing to pay in insurance premiums. In these kinds of areas, insurance in inherently unworkable, regardless of profit seeking or not (again, minus a minor adjustment in margins)

In these places, you can either add in external subsidies to make the numbers work, which is bound to be unpopular with the people having to pay extra money to support people choosing to incur unnecessary costs, or you can accept that there is no workable insurance scheme in the area that and residents must take account of their own risks. There's no real way around this basic reality.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago (3 children)

This isn't about safety - those places are safe to live most of the time, and the weather predictions are very good at giving you a week notice to get out before the exceptions.

It is just too expensive to have buildings in those areas. Nobody builds a house that can be moved away from those areas in a week. Thus if you live there you need to account for the costs of rebuilding your house every few years when the weather destroys it. Or you need to build a house that can survive the weather - I don't know how expensive that would be.

I don't care if you want to live in those places, but I do not want to subsidize your housing if you choose to live there. Come move closer to me if you don't like it. (note that there are other risks living close to me)

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[–] [email protected] 20 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Florida, of all states, created this. There are requirements to use it, but for many it is their only real option.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Does it actually cover anything? I haven't looked into it but my knee-jerk reaction is that it's very simple and doesn't cover anything important, especially anything having to do with climate change.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 9 months ago

Florida here. They have adequate coverage, but there are caps in some extra options or high-end tell estate. The bigger issue is that all the other instance agencies are pulling out of the state so Citizens (the state insurance) is having to cover more and more to the point that the state is just one direct hurricane hit away from insolvency.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 9 months ago

Being from BC the basic car insurance is a non profit Provincial run scheme. All vehicles on the road need this basic insurance. They also manage rules, regulations, and other safety requirements for the Province.

Then extra coverage can be bought from the government agency or from private providers. The government is covering for all the bad drivers and then dealing with all the scammers while the private providers then cherry pick the best drivers for the extra coverage.

Insurance is expensive and there are the usual cries to make it private so it will be much cheaper!

I've lived in other Provinces where it's a private scheme. They are very expensive for new drivers, and those that have problematic issues can't afford to get insurance making it harder on those that have it and become tangled up with these uninsured drivers. This affects the good drivers eventually too. Most insurance works this way as it is.

It seems the grass is always greener...

[–] [email protected] 6 points 9 months ago

Well some states already have that for example Citizens in FL. Everyone who buys property insurance has to pay into it to cover people who own property in places that nobody in their right mind would insure for wind. Some states only allow work comp through the state or the state competes with private insurers as well. But given the political climate in like half of states I'm not sure how you expect that will really be better. Private insurers are definitely looking for profit but when the state steps in it's not like rates are going to be dirt cheap, or if they are just just going to be paid by tax increases instead. Home and property insurance is hella expensive in some areas because it costs a lot of money to constantly rebuild people's buildings and auto insurance is hella expensive because people buy hella expensive cars then drive like fuckin maniacs, and medical costs are outrageous. If they state handles the insurance you're still gonna have to pay for your insurance and you're still gonna have to subsidizebstupid people who drive like idiots and whatnot, but you have Ron DeSantis siphoning funds instead of CEO bonuses and golden parachutes.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 9 months ago

Insurance companies are required to pay out all but 15% as it is, so really, that's the most it could save, and since a new governing body to handle claims would have to exist, it would require at least 5% to pay staff, so that cuts it down to saving maybe 10 at best over an insurance company.

Right now the nation is supplementing states that have higher storm damage. People living at those rich coastal states that get hit by these storms are paying less than their risk and causing the rest of the nation to pay higher rates because the insurance companies aren't allowed to charge places like Florida more.

In other words, if insurance went state to state, places like Oklahoma and Missouri would save money due to the lower risk, but places like Florida would have to pay out more than they currently are or the state would lose money in payouts.

So insurance companies wanting to charge Florida and California more isn't really going to make the insurance companies more money a year. They're still locked at having to pay out 85% of what they take in to their insured customers. It would actually mean that the insurance company wouldn't have to inflate prices they charge to all the rest of the country in order to supplement the customer's they have in the states in high damage areas. I'd be all for it, since I don't live in a warm state with a beach. It's not right that I don't get a day trip to the ocean, but I have to pay the higher insurance rates for the people who do.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 9 months ago

We have province run auto insurance in British Columbia. It isn't perfect but it works fairly well.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 9 months ago (1 children)

And the states regulate the hell out of insurance anyway, might as well just provide it at no profit if you're making all the rules.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Or provide it at not profit because insurance decisions should not be driven by profit motivations.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 9 months ago

They still have to be driven by basic math. You slim the margins a bit by not needing to generate profit, but the situation hasn't fundamentally changed.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 9 months ago

Only if you make it one time thing as in you get your insurance payment only if you use it to rebuild somewhere else.

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[–] [email protected] 39 points 9 months ago (3 children)

I work in insurance and it's wild how many insurance carriers have pulled out of Florida and California due to natural disasters. The market is vastly shifting to smaller carriers in these regions.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 9 months ago (1 children)

CA and FL are hit with some kind of major event what? annually? or pretty damn close to it?

can you blame them for not wanting anything to do with it?

[–] [email protected] 9 points 9 months ago

Interesting, though: the highest insurance rates are in the midwest - Oklahoma, Nebraska, Kansas. No one lives there, so the risk pool is smaller than big states like CA and FL, and you can't send firefighters to divert a tornado. We'll see if that holds up to climate change, bigger CA fires, and more frequent FL hurricanes.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 9 months ago

Not according to my FIL. Nope, he's convinced the media articles are just a lie cuz "they want the auto insurance money and the state won't let them do auto unless they do home" 🙄

[–] [email protected] 3 points 9 months ago

I've had three insurers in four years in FL. Policy price increased each time, as well. I have no idea what's going to happen if it continues. I can't afford to keep up.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

The core of the issue is people shouldn't live in these places.

Insurance companies provide insurance. It's like people in this thread don't know what insurance is.

What it isn't: making a poor financial decisions and someone giving you money because you make a stupid decision.

Insurance is about risk. Insurance costs more than you gain, that's how it's designed. On average people lose on insurance, but the way people work is they would rather guarantee losing small amounts than risk losing a big amount. Insurance doesn't work any other way.

Your group needs to pay small amounts each to cover occasional large expenses. If the system is full of large expenses then the group needs to pay large expenses each and then there is no point of insurance.

Christ. People just want feel good answers rather than living in reality. Climate change is coming. It's been well known since the 80's at the latest. You have been signing cheques and now the bill is due, you could have gotten out 40 years ago.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 9 months ago (5 children)

In California, you pretty much can't get fire insurance which is required by mortgages, so only corporations can even buy property here....

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago

You can't get it in the boonies. I live in a city and my insurance, with an earthquake rider, is only a few hundred a month. My coworker lives in sparsely populated area (by the standards of this metro area) and his insurance costs a little over 7x as much, and continues to rise.

And it's deserved too. These people move out there because they're the type that want to "own land," but then none of them maintain it. I'll go over to his house for a party and be in the backyard and everywhere I look, his property and every property it touches, as soon as you go beyond the area immediately around the house that is actually used, the entire ground is covered by kindling. One dropped cigarette and his entire neighborhood is gone.

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[–] [email protected] 11 points 9 months ago

Home and car insurance is becoming impossible because we can't afford homes or cars. It's impossible to insure what we don't have.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 9 months ago (3 children)

The only two states that don't require some form of car insurance are New Hampshire and Virginia.

So I guess we're all fucked in the other states?

[–] [email protected] 13 points 9 months ago (2 children)

So Virginia is weird. You can technically drive without insurance but you have to pay a one time fee to DMV and register as uninsured. In truth though you will not likely get an auto loan without it. And good luck if you get in an accident. I'm guessing that this is a hold over for vehicles that are "farm use" or for "antique vehicles" that might need to use the roadways occasionally but don't really need expensive coverage.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 9 months ago

You also have to pay the uninsured motor vehicle fee when you renew registration, so that comes out it $500/year or $40/mo. So you end up paying 1/3 to 1/2 of insurance and don't get any coverage.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (3 children)

In Va, it's not a 1 time fee, it's a $500 fee on top of your yearly registration.

But that exemption it's also going away this year in July. After that insurance will be required.

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[–] [email protected] 10 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Technically you are not required to have auto insurance. The law (most states if not all?) requires “financial responsibility”. This can be achieved by filing a bond with the state instead of paying for insurance.

However, insurance is far and away the most cost effective way to meet financial responsibility requirements. The coverage is greater and the costs are much cheaper.

Or, don’t drive. Spend the money on investing in mass transit and walkable cities and then you don’t have the cost of insurance, a vehicle, maintenance, or fuel. If only it were that easy…

[–] [email protected] 8 points 9 months ago (1 children)

It isn't that easy. I would love it, but suggesting it's easy is ludicrous. It would take an incredible amount of money and time and effort and, in general, it is an effort worth making. But it won't help those of us who live well outside city limits down a country road.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 9 months ago

Agreed, it’s not easy, and I don’t suggest it is.

I’m in a similar boat, living in a suburb in county land where the closest grocery store is 15 minutes away. There’s no chance in hell Phoenix will move away from cars in my lifetime.

My only option is to move to a city with infrastructure already built. Housing will be more, but not having the costs associated with car ownership vastly outweighs the cost of housing increases. But again, it’s not that easy.

The truth is, there is no easy answer to the rising costs. Public companies must make a profit. If there are more frequent losses and those losses are more expensive, the only thing to do is raise premiums.

Making the companies “public” like Citizens doesn’t fix things either, it just makes them susceptible to politics, which will always come back to bite.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 9 months ago (2 children)

Get hit by someone that's totally irresponsible in New Hampshire and tell me you're not fucked!

[–] [email protected] 9 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Obviously. I'm just saying- what are you supposed to do if you need insurance but no one will insure you and this is happening to huge numbers of people? I'm sure the Fuck Cars folks would tell us to just not drive. I live in a semi-rural subdivision down a country road from a four-lane highway, two miles from the nearest bus station. It was -16 this morning when I woke up.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago (5 children)

For starters you are supposed to demand better transit. While expensive, there is no reason you can't get great transit to your sub division - and since it is great transit everyone could get rid of a car (not all cars: you keep the SUV to tow the boat!) and save money overall.

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[–] [email protected] 7 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Similar problems in New Zealand, for different reasons.

Afaik earthquakes and flooding have crippled the insurance companies, nearly to the point of the entire industry threatening to quit.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 9 months ago

I don't blame then for qutting if it's unprofitable. Maybe it'll be a wake up call to require new building codes to entice them back.

Homes can be retrofitted for earthquakes. It costs money, but if it's that serious a problem, maybe the government needs to add incentives to do it, and maybe insurers won't insure unless you have.

Work can be done to prevent flooding as well. There was a massive flood in BC Canada during a huge storm a few years ago causing billions in damage. Some of that disaster was because on the US side they wouldn't upgrade one of the anti flooding measures that impacted our side of the border.

It's going to cost an enormous amount of money, but thats the cost if having ignored the scientists for decades on climate change for many of these problems.

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