Likely voters are those that have voted before, that's what makes them likely to vote again. For the most part they're the more accurate people to be polling.
I'm starting to question 538s predictions not because there is any problem with the models, but because there is a filter on what polls they choose to include. I don't want to call it bias, it's just a blind spot that their model isn't getting all the input for.
Of course it's not like anyone else is doing a better job either.
And yet child beauty pageants will still be up and running.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wire-guided_missile
It's been a thing for 80 years.
Don't bother, if they can't leave a message, you didn't want to talk to them.
She could save us all a lot of time if she just told us what cheating exactly would be prosecuted. That way we'll know what to indict her and Trump for.
Primaries are the place for protest votes. You want to send a message, send it now in the primary.
Come general election, it's time to shut up and protect the country.
It's about time someone did. War is just violent economics. Taking away Putin's income will cost him the war faster than killing Russians.
Actually Tort law in every state makes any debt null and void if payment in legal tender is refused. A promise note, whatever the fuck that is, does not constitute legal tender. That's why your dollar bills say they're legal tender for all debts public and private. And also why people have gotten away with paying large debts in pennies just to be an asshole.
As they say, In God we trust, all others pay cash.
Honestly only a million is a weak number. Three or four would have been good, six would make me think democracy might survive. The 2020 election was over $14 billion, and we've had strong inflation since then.
Getting people pumped to support Biden is like getting excited about plain toast. We best start acting like it's our first food in a month.
It's only cancel culture when it happens to fascists.
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Skyrmir
joined 1 year ago
Because new voters are a rounding error smaller than the error bars of the sample size.
Polling is pretty much like the unemployment rate. Any individual reading is meaningless, it's a multitude of readings over time that give any useful information.