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Well, this doesn’t bode well.
At this stage is common sense. Maybe things will calm down, or at least remain the usual level of fucked up, but if they don't then people in Lebanon will be caught in the crossfire between Hezbollah and the IDF.
State is more concerned about US citizens in Lebanon being targeted as a form of retaliation against US support of Israel.
We are looking at a real possibility of another Arab/Israeli war breaking out soon. Thats what "while commercial options still remain" means.
Yeah, there's a good chance the whole area will become a no fly zone soon, and retaliation against Americans still in the area will only increase of the US joins in the bombing or even just supports Israel to prevent defending against Israel's bombings.
Well, that's what their job is supposed to be about, right? Safety of their citizens.
I think it should be fine.
Why is the conflict spilling over to Lebanon?
Hezbollah has been involved from South Lebanon since the initial attacks by Hamas. They were launching rockets from Lebanon.
Some additional context is that Hezbollah is strongly funded and supported by Iran, who take every opportunity to try to hurt Israel that they get. The Muslim world is also generally united in being opposed to Israel's existence, and Palestine in particular is something of a rallying cry to all of them. This is also something that Iran very directly encourages.
Israel moving their forces south means they are open to attack on the north, which certain actors may act on.
Long story short, Israel pushed all the Palestinian fighters out at some point and the PLO was forced to fight from its neighboring countries. Seeing the Palestinians as their neighbors and the Israelis as colonizers most (if not all) backed Palestine. Eventually Palestine regained control of Gaza and the west bank.
With Israel now bombing all of Gaza and sending troops into the west bank Lebanon probably see's the writing on the wall. They're not waiting for war to come to their land. They don't want a bunch of Palestinian refugees they want Israel to stop invading Palestine.
Lebanese people: 😦
this post was submitted on 19 Oct 2023
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