this post was submitted on 06 Nov 2024
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Summary

Donald Trump’s return to the White House signals a shift toward "America First" foreign policies, emphasizing non-interventionism and trade protectionism.

Trump has vowed to end the Russia-Ukraine war “in a day” through negotiation, though critics argue his approach may weaken Ukraine’s position.

In the Middle East, he promises to bring "peace," likely reverting to pro-Israel policies and a hard line on Iran, which could further destabilize the region.

On China, Trump may re-escalate trade tensions and take a tough stance on Taiwan by threatening severe tariffs to deter Chinese aggression.

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[–] [email protected] 82 points 6 days ago (1 children)

Ukraine is fucked as much as it saddens me to say.

[–] [email protected] 27 points 6 days ago (3 children)

All of Eu, starting with Poland and the Baltics.

[–] [email protected] 27 points 6 days ago (3 children)

Nah, Russia could barely handle a Ukraine with heavy restrictions on how they could use weapons.

Poland could kick Russia’s ass.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 6 days ago

Either way, it's a catastrophy for the european economy. The past 5 years will feel like a walk in the park compared to what's to come if Trump follows up on his promises. We're talking about mass migration like we haven't seen in 80 years and inflation that's magnitudes worse than we've seen the past couple years. I'm almost looking forward to our elections next year in Germany because right wing will almost certainly win and then crumble under the pressure of what's likely to come.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 6 days ago (1 children)

You're forgetting that if Russia takes Ukraine it can use their resources to continue fighting.

Nazis were weak when they attacked Czechoslovakia and then Poland.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 6 days ago (1 children)

Russia already has vastly more resources than Ukraine, it's not going to make any difference.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 6 days ago

The argument was that Russia has no chance against Poland, because how it is doing on Ukraine.

But it won't be Russia vs Poland it will be Russia + Ukraine + (whatever else putin gets on the way).

He also won't have any problem sending Ukrainians to die fighting with Poles.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 days ago

The reason Russia couldn't handle Ukraine was only because of huge amounts of weapons coming from NATO, more than half from the USA, starting from long before the war started with huge numbers of MANPADS and ATGM's . If NATO's resolve weakens, countries will fall one by one to Russia, as its military and production capabilities are still many times larger than any country in Europe.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 6 days ago (2 children)

Hasn't Poland been amassing arms? I'll admit I'm not well versed in the area, but one creator I like to watch continues to mention that Poland has been on a massive buying spree.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 6 days ago

Yes, but there is a quite a gap between ordering tanks and equipment and receiving said order.

South Korean armouries might have to start working overtime soon.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 6 days ago

for now we can dazzle the most probable adversary with invoices

[–] [email protected] 4 points 6 days ago

The EU could easily take on Russia militarily even if the latter weren't already neck-deep in Ukraine.

[–] [email protected] 50 points 6 days ago

They're really watering down the fact that Trump literally already tried to Withdraw from NATO completely.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 6 days ago

Trump's "concept of a plan" to end Ukraine war is easy, the day he is in office, he turns off the tap for money/weapons

[–] [email protected] 6 points 6 days ago (2 children)

Ukraine 💀 Middle East 💥 China 1️⃣

[–] [email protected] 5 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

Congrats to China, Russia and Israel. Ironic that Biden admin mishandling just one of these issues, even while handling others well, may lead to worst outcome of all three. Perhaps a tiny ME country just changed the course of history. In the dumbest timeline at least, for whatever that's worth.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 days ago

Sorry, in case that was unclear: These are predictions, not opinions.

[–] [email protected] -3 points 6 days ago

Ukraine drank the kool-aid, and fooled themselves into thinking that if you slap a "freedom and democracy" sticker on and cozy up to the West, they'll always back you no matter what.

In reality, countries behave as paranoid amoral assholes for a good reason.