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this post was submitted on 21 Sep 2024
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She's going to show up, he won't, and it'll be an opportunity to take tough questions without having to share time and a stage with a gasbag idiot.
I actually think that would probably go poorly for Harris. The mistake-tolerance for Harris is tiny because left and left-leaning voters are often hyper-purity idealogues. Trump's supporters are also working on a purity ideology, but they are extremely mistake-tolerant because their purity test is literally supporting Trump. He's basically one, long series of mistakes and it barely moves his numbers.
Harris does not have that luxury by any stretch of the imagination.
I'd agree with this - for Trump, it's basically just a personality thing and his policies and what he says are less relevant (everyone knows he's just a joker that talks crap... so you should ignore what he ACTUALLY says and trust that he will deliver... sth like that) whereas for Harris, people listen to what she doesn't say and expect that she's hiding the fact that she'll install surgeries in schools to do stealthy operations so she can send Harry home as Harriette...
I do feel more optimistic that the world can be saved from more Trump - but it's not yet guaranteed.
I'm actually kind of worried that this will happen. In that vacuum she's going to use the time to bridge the gap between the left and the right. The last thing I really want from her is more talk about supporting fracking, more soft stance on Palestine, and more words about hardline on immigration. I get that she's trying to draw more of the right in politically but I'm also worried that she is dangerously close to having the far left get disenfranchised.
Serious question.
What percentage of the population do you consider 'Far Left?'
So radicalized that they actually believe that there's no difference between Harris and Trump?
It's a diminishingly small number. For instance Gaza is a loud issue with strong divides. But polling shows it's a very tiny fraction for whom it's a deciding factor in their vote preference. It's just that the tiny fraction of people is very loud, typically young, and on social media like Lemmy.
For many of this tiny minority, it has become more a personality than a political or even ethical issue. They're wildly overrepresented in, for instance, discourse on Lemmy; conversely, they represent a tiny, almost meaningless amount of voters who would not vote for Harris because of it, no matter how many all-caps posts they make about EVERYONE ELSE IS VOTING FOR GENOCIDE.
Also, they never seem to notice what Trump did to the Kurds.
A higher % of those over 65 support Israel than the % of those under 35 that support Palestine. Those over 65 vote, those under 35 don't. That last fact is true no matter the country and no matter if there's a party centered around what younger people want. It makes no political sense to go and cater to people who won't vote anyway.
I hate this, but it's true.
You're getting downvotes. Sad, because you're only telling what is true.
And I get it, it sucks but getting elected depends on getting votes and if there's a group that doesn't vote no matter what then it's no wonder the strategy doesn't revolve around them.
I think the far left (if they're going to vote) aren't likely to be pushed away by more moderation from Harris. They're already far more politically engaged than the vast majority of people. Meanwhile, there are a lot of apolitical people who dislike Trump, but just don't want to vote and feel like they don't know enough about Kamala to feel comfortable voting for her (my Catholic Republican mother, for example). I think that group probably has more people in it than the far left does, and more exposure to Kamala's normalcy relative to Trump is a good thing for swaying them, given the shift in the polls following the last debate. I'll always be disappointed when the Dems pivot right instead of left, but I think the logic is sound in this case.
Each of these swings out into right field are wedges that the right uses to drive people toward independent votes.
Define "disenfranchised"
They will feel that the value of their vote isn't worth the time to cast it. They will no longer be driven to vote and will stay at home. That this effect will negate, if not cripple, the numbers we'd have even with whatever moderate right can be convinced to vote.
That's not what disenfranchised means. If someone has a choice to vote, including choosing to abstain, they are not disenfranchised.
Nah he'll be there, his ego won't let him stay away. We'll have to hear it sane washed as his "just stay tuned" showmanship master plan, but we'll know it's just ego.
Never know, those bone spurs might act up again and prevent him from appearing.
He really wanted to do it but he was too tired. Sad!
"tough" questions.