This is a most excellent place for technology news and articles.
those who dedicate their lives to gaining and holding onto massive wealth and power, are the ones least fit to wield massive wealth and power.
Which is why the tax system needs to be reformed.
The political right actually has one good point that we on the left don't always appreciate: taxes on middle class people should be lower.
Specifically, very liberal tax exemptions on things like 401Ks, including the ability to transfer wealth across generations.
Combine that with higher taxes on the wealthy, and it will be possible to shift power to the middle class.
Consider the total market cap of the S&P 500, rounded up it's about 50 trillion. Divide that among 130 million households and each household should own about $400K in stock on average.
Full equality is neither achievable nor desired by most people, so a good scheme would be to let every household hold up to $1M in wealth, tax exempt.
And then progressively tax everything above that.
Problem is, people usually by far overestimate their position in society.
If you say "tax the rich" a whole lot of people feel like it's about them even though they barely count as middle class.
Here in Germany I've had countless debates about inheritance tax. If your parents die, you only have to pay taxes (10%) on anything over 400k, and that's per child. That means, most people will never pay a cent of inheritance tax, yet they are horrified by the idea of it, because they firmly believe, their parents shitty house in a village somewhere will bankrupt them and their two siblings.
People fundamentally don't understand their own wealth and how tiny their wealth is compared to the billionaires class.
Yes, I fully agree.
So we need to find the right messaging.
I don't know about Germany, but here in the Netherlands most people identify as middle class.
So "stop taxing the middle class" and "let the billionaires pay more" is a message that should resonate.
I'm optimistic and I believe we will get there. The level of equality we have today would be unfathomable for somebody living before 1945.
Thing is, I agree with your sentiment, but I'm 95% sure, this will be killed by political interests.
Everyone wants to be middle class, be in reality, a married couple of tenured teachers already is upper class. I'm upper class, since I'm a single software developer.
There was a reform recently, where couples having combined incomes over something like 180k would get less benefits for their children. Hardly anybody would have been affected by this, but the genuine outrage of middle class people was gigantic, because these morons don't want to accept, that they're not rich.
I'm really afraid for our democracy because so many people are willfully stupid. It's not that they're incapable of knowing or understanding, they don't want to understand. For whatever reason....
No you are not upper class if you are a married couple of teachers, that is exactly the point you made before about people overestimating their place in society. If you have to work to earn money you are not upper class, the upper classes already have so much wealth that they can live off the passive proceeds of that wealth.
Yes your dual income might but you in the top 15% of incomes, but wealth is the defining characteristic of the truly rich not income.
including the ability to transfer wealth across generations.
How is this ability limited currently in the US?
For one, you can't transfer a 401K to your kids.
You have to first cash it out, pay income tax and then you can transfer what remains.
Lol
I'm going to attract downvotes, but this article doesn't convince me he's becoming powerful and that we should be very afraid. He's a grifter, sleezy, and making a shit ton of money.
Anyone who has used these tools knows they are useful, but they aren't the great investment the investors claim they are.
Being able to fool a lot of people into believing the intelligence doesn't make it good. When it can fool experts in a field, actively learn, or solve problems without training on the issue, that's impressive.
Generative AI is just a new method of signal processing. The input signal, the text prompt, is passed through a function (the model) to produce another signal (the response). The model is produced by a lot of input text, which can largely be noise.
To get AGI it needs to be able to process a lot of noise, and many different signals. "Reading text" can be one "signal" on a "communication" channel - you can have vision, and sound on it too - body language, speech. But a neural network with human ability would require all five senses, and reflexes to them - fear, guilt, trust, comfort, etc. We are no where near that.
Strong agree here. You hit on a lot of the core issues on LLMs, so I'll say my opinions on the economic aspects.
It's been more than a year since chatGPT released this plague of "slap AI on the product and consumers will put their children down for collateral to buy!" which imo we haven't seen whatsoever. Investors still have a hard-on for the term AI that goes into the stratosphere but even that is starting to change a little.
Consumers level of AI distrust has risen considerably and consumers have seen past the hype. Wrapping this back around to the CEOs level of power, I just don't think LLMs are actually going to have enough marketability for general consumers to become juggernaut corpos.
LLMs absolutely have use cases but they don't fit into most consumer products. No one wants AI washers or rice cookers or friggin AI spoons and shoehorning them in decreases interest in the product.
That's also how I feel about "smart" devices in general. I don't want a smart refrigerator, I just want it to work. The same goes for other appliances, like my laundry machine, dishwasher, and rice cooker. The one area I kind of want it, TVs, has been ruined by stupid tracking and ads.
What's going to kill AI isn't AI itself, it's AI being forced into products where it doesn't make sense, and then ads being thrown in on top to try to make some sort of profit from it.
The article seems to be based on a number of flawed premises.
Firstly, that chatgpt is the only LLM. It's not, and better, stronger, cheaper alternatives are likely to emerge.
Secondly, that LLMs are a step on the way to AGI. Like any minute now they're going to evolve. They're not, they're a one trick pony which is making coherent sentences. That's it.
The most terrifying AIs aren't even LLMs.
The same AI imaging systems that we used to get a 'picture' of a black hole a few years ago can be trained on the EM signatures of HDMI cables, meaning they now have a TEMPEST like system that can reliably read and decode any monitor within a thousand feet.
That same system can be trained on social media temperature and be used to identify all sorts of metrics such as degree of depression, gender, career, degree of sociopathy, and a ton of other things like whether a person is pregnant even before they know it.
LLMs are a toy, crosslinking AIs are a menace.
But hardly anyone is looking at the serious problem.
For now it's all butthurt artists angry that people are making porn with their publicly available art without paying them.
The real issue is our right to privacy and how we will be targeted once that is irrelevant.
Imagine if Drumpf gets into office again and one of his junior suckups says "Hey we can identify every social media account that spoke bad about you, and have a good chance of connecting them with a real world address and identity.". With SCOTUS given presidential immunity, what do you think he will do with that knowledge?
Exactly. And that's why we're in a bubble. Once the execs are finally convinced by their tech people that LLMs aren't some kind of magic bullet, we'll see a pretty big correction. As an investor, I'm not exactly looking forward to that, but as someone who works in tech, I'm honestly not worried about my job.
I'm going to attract downvotes
Not sure anyone ever says this and then has net negative votes. This one is no exception
Honestly, I'm actually surprised. I didn't think it would be a popular opinion
It's just funny how often it works out this way.
The one comment I have here is that you may be overlooking the impact LLMs will have on the tech sector.
Basically Homeless just created a wasp-shooting real-world first-person shooter machine with high speed, accuracy, and strength motors, controllers, etc, controlled via Python, using Claude with little knowledge of how to do the hardware or software.
The productivity aspects, especially among those who go through the education system from this day forward, will be forever changed. There are already plenty of developers who wouldn't give up what they now have access to. Despite the black hole of money it is now, power and wealth will come over time.
Homeless just created a wasp-shooting real-world first-person shooter machine with high speed, accuracy, and strength motors, controllers, etc, controlled via Python, using Claude with little knowledge of how to do the hardware or software.
... Is homeless a company? Are we talking about a video game.. a robot... White Anglo Saxon Protestants... What?
Also how does this relate to LLMs?
IIRC, "Basically Homeless" is the name of some content creator and/or YouTube channel.
Yea, I figured using a proper noun would give a clue, but oh well.
I don't have access to it at work. I like what I am able to do with with my own license of Jet brains ai, but it still leaves a lot to be desired.
I agree overall, but fooling experts isn’t what would make AI valuable. Being able to do valuable tasks would make it valuable. And it’s just not good enough at valuable tasks to be valuable.
And silicons' nowhere near as energy efficient as biological neurons. There needs to be a massive energy breakthrough like fusion or actual biological processors becoming a thing to see any significant improvements.
The bubble will burst in a few years (it really should burst sooner, but too many people are trying to prop up their bad investments).
To put it another way, is this guy really any worse than Musk or any of the other too-wealthy wastes of oxygen rattling around?
Probably not but do we really need more of them?
The regime needs these young rich Buck stories to keep normies in line. There is always some young bro or chick "breaking" something while a generation of slaves produces the value.
Thank you! It's a bubble like the dot com bubble but a slight smaller scale.
He is creating a massive tech bubble that will cost investors billions.
Can we stop crowning random socially-stunted weirdos with enormous earth shattering powers, please?
It ain't like they are doing it for free?
Dude has been paying for these articles for a while now. These "tech entrepreneurs" are getting weirder and weirder. Musk zuck and this guy, it does make you wonder where the fuck is we going here.
I mean, it's the weirdos that propel society.
Hard disagree. Autistic enthusiasts are the best people to shape their fields. I just wish we had different ones in this case
Wrt things like this, and climate change, the rise of fascism globally, the outsourcing of jobs, etc., people should be much more afraid than they are currently.
I think people used to be thus during the cold war era, yet WWIII never materialized and people are just burnt out from being told that they need to be afraid all the time - e.g. those school drills where kids knelt down and placed heads behind the backs of their necks, like that would somehow stop an atomic bomb?
Now, "nothing bad can ever happen", even as we see heat spikes of 100 degrees in the Arctic and the 4 globally hottest days ever recorded were all last week, on top of 14 straight months of record-setting temps too. The octogenarian leaders whose fingers can't even type on a mobile phone somehow "lead" our nation even in areas like technology. Note: I am not getting on their case for being chronologically old or even not knowing things (ignorance is easily cured), I am condemning them for choosing to remain in their ignorance (obstinacy), even while retaining their positions of power & authority (corruption) rather than cede to those who actually know stuff.
I have no problems with someone choosing not to learn about difficult matters - e.g. vaccinations - but in that case, don't vote. Your choices to be lazy & willfully uninformed should not dictate mine to remain alive.
Yeah I went off on a tangent here, b/c Altman is simply one more example of all that has come before - e.g. Huffman and Musk did it before him, and Bezos before that, and so on, and it will fucking never end. Protect yourself as best you can... somehow. e.g. coming to the Fediverse (which soon, with Sublinks and Piefed, will offer alternatives beyond just Lemmy) seems a great first step to me:-).
Get me the heart attack gun
I hereby propose the we take a random techbro or wanna techbro or other techno shit and sacrifice to them to our new Machine God.
The yearly sacrifice is a honor as the chosen one will have their conscious merge with the Machine God.*
This will allow us to propel our understanding of technology to new levels. For the Machine God will be pleased.
*=Results not guaranteed. There a risk of not merging conscious with the Machine God.
Finally, a religion that makes sense.
The Adeptus Mechanicus welcomes all.
Can I get a ChatGPT summary of this article please 😆
I mean, what, he's going to be worse for us than bezos, musk or trump?
You should check out his new project... Skynet
Yes we should
