this post was submitted on 13 Jan 2024
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William Lai Ching-te from the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) has won Taiwan’s presidential election.

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 10 months ago (2 children)

China is a paper tiger. Their nukes are full of water. The latest reports show even more corruption in their MIC than Russia has going on.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Even if their military is a cesspool of corruption and incompetence that lacks the real-world capacity to invade a wet paper sack (something that I wouldn't take for granted even if the rumors and reports about it are true, given the sheer volume of men and materiel China has to throw at an enemy nation regardless of quality), China at war with Taiwan would create a global economic crisis, between shipping disruptions in the Pacific and the knock-on effects of isolating China economically in retaliation.

Really, the best thing for everyone would be for Xi exit stage left somehow and be replaced by someone with less imperialistic ambition, but for the moment he seems fairly secure in power, which is why we've seen Western nations making efforts to decouple their economies from China, and more overtly signal their support for Taiwanese independence.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 10 months ago

Either that, or focus on the oblast that includes Vladivostok. That oblast used to be called either Outer or Northern Manchuria. It still has a large Han population, and Russia only took it from them a little more than 100 years ago. This would also give China access to the Sea of Okhotsk, and another northern port.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 10 months ago

Literally everyone is hoping that this is something we won't have to deal with in our lifetimes.