Technology

59340 readers

5246 users here now

This is a most excellent place for technology news and articles.

Our Rules

Follow the lemmy.world rules.
Only tech related content.
Be excellent to each another!
Mod approved content bots can post up to 10 articles per day.
Threads asking for personal tech support may be deleted.
Politics threads may be removed.
No memes allowed as posts, OK to post as comments.
Only approved bots from the list below, to ask if your bot can be added please contact us.
Check for duplicates before posting, duplicates may be removed

Approved Bots

founded 1 year ago

MODERATORS

[email protected]

526

AI Expert Warns Crash Is Imminent As AI Improvements Hit Brick Wall (futurism.com)

submitted 1 day ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

146 comments fedilink hide all child comments

you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments

[–] [email protected] 31 points 1 day ago (2 children)

"The economics are likely to be grim," Marcus wrote on his Substack. "Sky high valuation of companies like OpenAI and Microsoft are largely based on the notion that LLMs will, with continued scaling, become artificial general intelligence."

"As I have always warned," he added, "that's just a fantasy."

[–] [email protected] 2 points 22 hours ago

Microsoft shit is a mega corp... AI is based on their revenue lol

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (2 children)

Even Zuckerberg admits that trying to scale LLMs larger doesn’t work because the energy and compute requirements go up exponentially. There must exist a different architecture that is more efficient, since the meat computers in our skulls are hella efficient in comparison.

Once we figure that architecture out though, it’s very likely we will be able to surpass biological efficiency like we have in many industries.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 21 hours ago (1 children)

That's a bad analogy. We weren't able to surpass biological efficiency in industry sector because we figured out human anatomy and how to improve it. It's simply alternative ways to produce force like electricity and motors which had absolutely no relation to how muscles works.

I imagine it would be the same for computers, simply another, better method to achieve something but it's so uncertain that it's barely worth discussing about.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 20 hours ago

Of course! It’s not like animals have jet engines!

Human brains are merely the proof that such energy efficiencies are possible for intelligence. It’s likely we can match or go far beyond that, probably not by emulating biology directly. (Though we certainly may use it as inspiration while we figure out the underlying principles.)

[–] [email protected] 1 points 22 hours ago

With current stat prediction models?