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Poll predicts Tories lose Opposition Status (www.independent.co.uk)

submitted 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

23 comments fedilink hide all child comments

Yesterday I was pointing out how little effort this would take based on polling. And today a new poll puts electoral calculuses tory seat prediction from 66 to 27.

While it is an early poll.

Honestly if we saw a higher young voter turn out all votiing tactically. A complete distruction of the Tories party is possible.

Imagin an opposition party challenging labours view on FPTP. This would be a real once in a life time change to the old aristocratic power structure.

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[–] [email protected] 24 points 5 months ago (2 children)

It genuinely could happen, but we have to get the word out and all vote tactically. I would definitely hold my nose and vote Lib dem if it could push the Tories into third or fourth place!

[–] [email protected] 10 points 5 months ago

In fptp, only tactical votes matter.

I'd love to be able to vote with my heart, but getting the Tories out is far more important.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 children)

I am in a seat they are predicted to win.

Electoral calculus had (yesterday) 53 seats they called Lib Dem medium. Where they were within 10% of beating the tories as the 2nd largest party. These will be where we need more nose holding.

As with 53 close loses they were predicting 66 tory MPs and 59 Lib Dem

[–] [email protected] 12 points 5 months ago (2 children)

Farage standing is going to make it worse for the Tories: it will raise Reform's profile and split the right wing vote worse. Electoral calculus just changed again.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)

Please please stop. Come on think what this means. No one at all in the UK or even the universe. What's to consciously know they need to thank Nigel Farrarge for there post July 4th orgasm.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 5 months ago

Yeah, it's going to take a few days for the impact of that to filter through and it isn't going to make things look better for the Tories.