The bulk of reddit has already gone back to reddit.

Don't get me wrong, lemmy is great just the way it is. We don't need a continued influx from reddit (although lets see what happens on 1 July).

I think the future will be good for countries like Canada / Sweden / Russia because global warming will more or less only help them. A lot of land will become better for agriculture / more habitable. Of course they will probably have to deal with some sort of refugee crisis from the global south.

I don't know much about this but I don't think that this is how global warming works ?

I think this misunderstanding is why the phrase "climate change" is preferred because "global warming" makes it sound like everywhere will be a few degrees warmer which is not really the case.

My limited understanding is that the average global temperature may be warmer, but that really just means the ocean surface will be warmer, which creates more severe weather patterns.

The big problems with climate change seem to be quite nuanced, in a nutshell more severe and less predictable weather patterns. For example here in Western Australia maybe 20% of the state is arable land with predictable rainfall. Suppose next year there's 50% less rainfall in that 20% of the state (it just rains somewhere else) - that's a catastrophic problem. 50% of the productivity, 50% of the water flowing into dams for industrial and household use. Suppose the following year there's 50% more rainfall than usual, falling on arable land where it hasn't rained for a few years - it washes the dry topsoil away again destroying productivity.

There was an episode about water scarcity on doomsday watch podcast - fascinating & terrifying. There's a phrase that stuck with me - if climate change is a shark then water scarcity is the teeth.

You're right in a way, but I think you're applying a narrow definition of "opinion" when I think most people ITT are thinking about "behaviours".

Sure, it's not great to exclude dissenting political opinions, the intolerance paradox being a notable exception. That said, I'm not here to discuss politics.

Say for example that some users will do anything for fake internet points - post anything, say anything, there behaviour is guided by the pursuit of karma and building some kind of following. Other users will do anything for engagement, whatever it takes to get others to engage with them including trolling. I'm happy enough for these types of users to find more rewarding platforms elsewhere. Note that's different to excluding them, it's just being a part of a place that isn't fertile ground for their fixations.

This sounds fantastic to me.

It's pretty much what happened on mastodon with the twitter-storm in November.

Huge influx of new users, about a third hung around - but it was the third who were the most like-minded.

eventually it’ll run dry - because the contributors are leaving the site

I somewhat disagree... you haven't considered the increased incentive for occasional posters to become more regular contributors as existing contributors leave.

As the volume of contributions reduces, each contribution is more likely to garner engagement - those sweet sweet endorphins released when someone upvotes or otherwise engages with your post.

I agree. If lemmy continues to grow, inevitably some servers will be shit, but I imagine there will be other non-federated or less-federated instances. beehaw has already started down that path.

Trolls are generally looking for maximum carnage, so I imagine there's less incentive / reward posting somewhere like lemmy.

I think this is something reddit users generally have a hard time grasping about lemmy, including myself.

One of the fundamentals of the fediverse is that there will be communities with the same name on different instances. Users can subscribe to good ones and / unsubscribe from bad ones as they wish.

Usernames are only universal in the same way an email address is. Any instance can have an @citizenpremier but only you can be @[email protected].

I don't mean to be a douche about it but you're still thinking about it in a very corporate-social kind of way. For something to be universal it requires a central point of control, which doesn't exist in the fediverse.

The biggest problem I see is fragmentation, people are creating the same community in different instaces, /c/Piracy for example.

I agree, to an extent. You're right in that if you were part of the vibrant community of /r/piracy then it's miserable to see it shatter here on lemmy. That said, this only applies if you're expecting lemmy to be a 1 for 1 reddit replacement. For this type of community to remain cohesive, /r/piracy would have had to spin up their own instance and in /r/piracy direct everyone to lemmy.piracyinstance.whatever.

You can't really "fix" this in a central way because even if you did, it would be trivial to create an instance that would allow duplicate community names. Also, I can see a lot of use cases for lemmy which do not intend to be federated.

That said, it's not necessarily as big a problem as it appears, if you just accept that this is how the fediverse works. There's no single source of control, so of course people can create 147 different /c/piracy communities if they wish to. Once you accept that, then it's not really that difficult to subscribe to all the /c/piracy communities you can find.

The problem itself could be diminished by a few new features which I feel certain will emerge in the future:

• linked communities, where one communities content is syndicated to another. So if you post in [email protected] then you also post in [email protected]. This would work differently to cross-posting, all comments would be reflected on both instances.
• grouped communities, where you can subscribe to a group of /c/selfhosted communities with one click, so you see them all in your feed.

Yeah, obviously it would be difficult to keep everything in sync without a single source of truth.

As it is now, the server you're connected to is doing all the work. I think the existing model can be modified to reduce the current points of confusion.

Like not being able to see communities on other servers in search is a problem.

This is as good a place as any to ask... where should we set up shop? This community's sole mod @[email protected] doesn't seem to be active.

A number of different self-hosting related communities have popped up in the last few days. I'm concerned that without a single focal point we won't hit a critical mass.

The reluctance of redditors to move to lemmy always amazes me.

Not surprisingly, there's a lot of posts in a lot of subs about the recently announced changes. In every post the same pattern is repeated ad-nauseum:

• "i hate reddit, it sucks here, I've always wanted to leave, I'm never coming back once this happens"
• "maybe we should move the sub to lemmy so we won't have this problem in future?"
• "but what about all our data, the wiki & post history and such"
• "but there's no users on lemmy"
• "but that would split the community!"

This is the case even in the subs I would have thought would be really keen to jump ship, like /r/selfhosted

I think this type of approach is the right idea though, a better ecosystem can only be good.