this post was submitted on 09 Mar 2024
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Pictured is a graph of historical global sea-surface temperatures across the year from 1982-2024. Yesterday was about 0.3°C warmer than last year. Well, maybe it will go back down since this is an El Niño year? :>

Average global surface air temperature in February 2024 was 1.77°C warmer than the average February from 1850-1900. So maybe we can retire those 1.5°C warming goals now?

However, the IPCC reports that global temperatures have only risen by 1.1°C. This is because they use decade-long averages. Indeed, it is completely possible that 2025 will be cooler than 2024, but crop failures don't care much for averages. shrug-outta-hecks And if global warming has accelerated, the IPCC's method will be a decade late to realizing it. Not that they can actually do anything about it...

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[–] [email protected] 9 points 8 months ago* (last edited 8 months ago)

Oh yeah that's the fun of dealing with a hypercomplex system. It should help with rewilding efforts but those won't show results for awhile, assuming they're followed through on.

To temper the bleakness a bit, it also means that with the right interventions it would be possible to have similarly drastic positive results.