this post was submitted on 27 Feb 2024
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This can only work in contexts where the LLM already has a strong Relatedness database for the topic. LLMs are incapable of assessing the accuracy of any information they weren't trained on with sufficient examples to build that database.
This paper, if I'm understanding it correctly, is saying the same thing: LLMs will always hallucinate and are incapable of identifying hallucinations in certain contexts.
The problem we face is that it's hard to identify hallucinations in the exact context when LLMs are most likely to make them: in content that's not widely known and understood with many examples in the training data.
Or maybe I'm off base and I need to read the full study.
Well, LLMs can and do provide feedback about confidence intervals in colloquial terms. I would think one thing we could do is have some idea of how good the training data is in a given situation - LLMs already seem to know they aren't up to date and only know stuff to a certain date. I don't see why this could not be expanded so they'd say something much like many humans would - i.e. I think bla bla but I only know very little about this topic. Or I haven't actually heard about this topic, my hunch would be bla bla.
Presumably like it was said, other models with different data might have a stronger sense of certainty if their data covers the topic better, and the multi cycle would be useful there.
The problem isn't just that llms can't say "I don't know", it's also that they don't know if they know something or not. Confidence intervals can help prevent some low-hanging fruit hallucinations but you can't eliminate hallucinations entirely since they will also hallucinate about how correct they are about a given topic.
That's not a problem at all, I already use prompts that allow the LLM to say they don't know an answer, and it does take that option when it's unable to find a correct answer. For instance I often phrase questions like this "Is it known whether or not red is a color in the rainbow?" And for questions where it doesn't know the answer it now will tell you it doesn't know.
And to your other point, the systems may not be capable of discerning their own hallucinations, but a totally separate LLM will be able to do so pretty easily.