this post was submitted on 28 Jan 2024
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[–] [email protected] 78 points 9 months ago (7 children)

Trump is even worse than Biden on Gaza. I get trying to push Biden to do better, but let’s all keep the truth in mind. The actual truth, not the click bait bullshit horse race covered by the media.

[–] [email protected] 37 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (2 children)

Electoral pressure is literally the only lever we have to push Biden to do better. There's no other way. Biden's team is making a bet that we aren't serious and that they can just use Trump to hold us hostage in the party.

So! No ceasefire, no votes. If this war is still going on by November, and Netanyahu has been saying it will, I will not vote for Biden.

It's so easy to earn our votes! Why is Biden sabotaging his own campaign?

[–] [email protected] -3 points 9 months ago (3 children)

The trouble you guys face is Trump is worse.

Just on Israel-Palestine alone, Trump is the person that recognised Jerusalem as Israel's capital city. If that isn't informative about his attitude about the situation...

[–] [email protected] 25 points 9 months ago

Yeah, and that's Biden's fault, not the voters. He is letting an unqualified candidate beat him because he won't stop funding the war on Gaza.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 9 months ago

If the choices are genocide lite and genocide deluxe, the only answer is for America to be defeated. MLs call it revolutionary defeatism.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 9 months ago

Don't know why you have downvotes, this is sound logic, trump will embolden Israel even more while fucking up a lot of other important stuff e.g. Ukraine

[–] [email protected] -5 points 9 months ago (2 children)

While I have serious issues with Biden on Israel, he really has no ability to force a ceasefire. (Short of sending US troops in to enforce it, and that would be a terrible idea.).

Biden could pull all US support for Israel, but that would create a power vacuum that China or (more likely) Russia would gladly fill. It still wouldn't end the genocide, but it would put a wedge between Iran and the Palestinians. (Iran is their only powerful ally.)

Biden's rhetoric needs to change, and we need Israel to feel some real heat for their actions, but the US doesn't have Israel on a leash.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 9 months ago (1 children)

While I have serious issues with Biden on Israel, he really has no ability to force a ceasefire. (Short of sending US troops in to enforce it, and that would be a terrible idea.).

Did you forget about the UN Security Council votes? The ones the US ruined?

[–] [email protected] -1 points 9 months ago (1 children)

No, that is one of the serious issues, but I also know that UN security council votes would make no difference whatsoever.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 9 months ago (1 children)

How do you know that? It's probably the best chance we have, surely?

[–] [email protected] -1 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Resolutions against further settlement were completely ignored. Ultimately, UN resolutions rely on a willingness to use military force if necessary. There is no interest in that, and there shouldn't be. That would certainly spread the conflict.

There actually was a successful vote on humanitarian aid, and that aid is being largely blocked by Israel.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago (1 children)

It seems like the problem is with UN security council resolutions not being enforced, so why make it look like America is the issue? Why not give it the best chance? Hell If you cared about the well being of your fellow human beings (controversial I know) wouldn't you be approving resolutions and then fighting to get them implemented? If they ignore it you can fucking sanction them. Use it to justify stopping arms sales and aid.

America cannot escape their responsibility for this, IMO. If they'd voted for a cease fire and Israel had ignored it, it would be Israel's fault. The way it stands America shares the blame, whether they like it or not.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago (1 children)

As I mentioned, the best chance for the US to influence Israel is for it to not take an adversarial role. It's like negotiating with a hostage taker. (I hate oversimplified analogies in foreign policy, but this one works really well). A hostage negotiator tries to sympathize with the hostage taker because it's the best way to get the hostages out safely. America has tried to thread the needle between putting pressure on Israel and remaining supportive. It hasn't had much success, but it's the best course open to us.

I am not of the opinion that moral considerations don't belong in foreign policy, but moral judgements like assigning "blame" can be antithetical to achieving moral ends. The second you label a foreign government as "genocidal" you lose all ability to influence them with anything but military force.

I actually agree with you that America gets a lot of the blame for what is happening but, most of the fault comes from things before October 7. I also fault Biden for a lot of that, and I think he has been far too over the top in supporting Israel publicly. What I think they are getting bad press for is the broad strategy of trying to restrain Israel while maintaining the relationship.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 months ago

Thanks, I appreciate the thoughtful explanation.

I get that this may be the best way to approach it in most cases, but what happens when it doesn't work? As you said it hasn't been successful. In a hostage negotiation, if any attempts had been fruitless, they would send in a team to rescue hostages by force. Not let the negotiator keep fumbling while people were being killed.

What I think they are getting bad press for is the broad strategy of trying to restrain Israel while maintaining the relationship.

Yeah I agree and imo this is deserved. Why is the relationship so important that it justifies undermining your own stated set of morals in such a public and humiliating way? I do not get it.

This happened recently through public statements:

Biden: two state solution is the only way

Bibi: nope

Biden: don't worry we can make it work

Bibi: no we can't, he's wrong

So why exactly do you want to be friends with this asshole again? It's like America is in an abusive relationship and nobody can convince them to leave

[–] [email protected] 33 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (2 children)

Trump is worse than Biden on anything and everything. But if any president can get away with supporting a genocide campaign, is this not the way they get away with it? By simply claiming it will ruin their campaign efforts?

[–] [email protected] -3 points 9 months ago (1 children)

It's sad ppl only read your first sentence and then are fully satisfied with whatever shit you throw on, as long as you don't specifically say 'Biden is really bad'

[–] [email protected] 17 points 9 months ago

I think it's Biden's responsibility to not support genocide, he owes it to his voters, and if he wants to keep them, he needs to change.

[–] [email protected] 30 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Unfortunately, the Democrats keep going back to the well of "what are you going to do, vote for the other guy?" Their success on this has been hit or miss the last few cycles. In fairness, it's been a viable strategy in the past, if Democrats can get those few persuadable voters in the middle of the political spectrum to vote Democratic and not Republican, that's a net win for the Democratic candidate. But, that begs the question of "are there enough persuadable voters left to offset losses when parts of your base stay home?" With Biden's continued support for Israel's actions, it seems that their political calculus says, "yes".

However, we've seen this go both ways in the last few cycles. Clinton deployed the tactic in 2016 and commenters were out in force to brow-beat any of the deplorables who offered anything less than a full-thoated support of her turn. It got her the popular vote, but that has never mattered, she lost the election. The "vote blue no matter who" force was on full display again in 2020 and managed to eek out a win. And here you are again, ramping up for 2024. It's going to be interesting to see how it works out this time.

Biden in 2020 had the advantage of being somewhat unknown. Everyone knew him as Obama's Vice President and that provided him some of Obama's popularity. This time around, he's much more of a known quantity and he's going to be running on his own record. Brow-beating people with "anyone but Trump" seems less likely to work when voters may be looking at specific policies and actions which they find at odds with their beliefs. When Biden was more of an unknown, it was easy for voters to map their own views onto him. We see this with polls which include "generic Democrat/Republican" as an option. People map their own views onto the "generic" view and so are more supportive. When a candidate becomes a known quantity, support can drop off, as the voters know which areas they agree and disagree with a particular politician. In the same way, Biden's policies are now more understood by the voters and people may be less inclined to support him based on those policies.

Personally, I'm doubtful this sort of brow-beating is going to work this cycle. Biden's popularity isn't fantastic and he's too well known for people to map their views onto him. Moreover, responding to people being upset with his actions with a brow-beating seems like a poor response to peoples' legitimate issues. It seems more likely to convince them to disengage or push back even harder. Sure, what are they going to do, vote for the other guy? No, probably not, but they may also not show up on election day. And with the closely divided state of the US electorate, that might just be enough to swing things the other way.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 9 months ago (2 children)

I get trying to push Biden to do better

Do you, as a group, though?

Every time someone posts an article about how it's a bad thing that Biden is actively contributing to a genocide, the top comment is Trump whataboutism.

Yes, Trump is much worse, both on Israel and in general, but that's not the fucking point!

[–] [email protected] 8 points 9 months ago

Biden ain't doing shit. He's gonna go to Michigan and lie, then he's going to maintain the same policies the US has for decades. It's silly to think otherwise. And so it goes.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 9 months ago (1 children)

On foreign policy the US remains a genocidal bully with questionable morals and alliances. But domestically the Democrats present a veneer of somewhat moral, inclusive values. So with the presented choice I would recommend to go with the seemingly moral guy and try to hold him accountable, rather than vote for the fascist maniac that acts the same domestically and foreign.

Just hope you get locally active to organize a stronger left for the future.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 9 months ago (1 children)

The Canadian Conservative party is the one that usually runs on "imagine/look at how bad the other guy would be" as a party platform. It's a bad look and a sign that you have nothing better. It's politicking for the sake of politicking.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

It is a bad look and a sign of a lack of good options, but that's the situation.

Also, all Canadian parties run like that except for the Greens and the Bloc, and it's probably because they know they won't form a government