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Frequency of Miracles
(lemmy.world)
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this post was submitted on 03 Dec 2023
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Do you think Adobe is going to take its hooks out of the world's designers before 2100?
Oh, I definitely think Photoshop will be obsolete before 2100 given current trends.
Why? Be specific.
Edit: in fact, be specific to individual workflows:
graphic design for UX/ui
graphic design for illustration
graphic design for web
graphic design for motion graphics
graphic design for multimedia/multiple platforms and CDN
all that other shit you didn’t think through for four decades!
Found the graphic designer who’s worried about his career.
Found someone who refuses to answer a question. And my career is just fine because AI can’t replicate these workflows.
Edit: AI may be able to produce one or two end products in these workflows today, but, realistically, these workflows produce hundreds if not thousands in their production timeline before they reach final approval and the final product is far more refined than anything AI could produce. Maybe that might change in the future, but, today, it’s just nowhere close to what we can achieve organically.
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Look at the rate of accelerating change over the past three years, and then think about the fact we're talking about 75+ years from today.
I really don't get when people try to argue about the future given only the status quo and not considering the rate of change between the past and present in extrapolating the future. It happens a lot these days.
People who try to predict the future have the habit of always getting stuck in those future predictions. I’m just a humble human who has to live today with today’s tools. Have fun pontificating about what may happen tomorrow. I have to live in the now, working today, earning a living with what we have to work with in today’s world. And that means working with today’s workflows with the tools we have now not with some theoretical experimental workflow 75 years from now.
Have fun working in some theoretical future, but today, AI isn’t a real threat to complex creative workflows.
😂
Good luck with that outlook, but I'd encourage keeping in mind that there's about at least an 18 month gap between the development of tech and its incorporation into specialized products and workflows.
You might be in for a bit of a surprise around 2025.
I’ve heard that same crap for 30 years, and nothing has come from it. Meanwhile, I had a whole career.
Yeah, I’m fine. 💋
You've been hearing that AI is going to be a disruptive force on graphic design for 30 years?
Man, it really must be the 2100s...
I’ve been hearing for decades that some novel tech today will have some disruptive impact on workflows, but they often don’t, or have a minor one at best. So far, AI hasn’t been any different.
Jesus Christ I feel like I just aged 75 years.
I sure hope so, but Adobe is very insistent on buying out capable competition (See Substance Painter and figma) with all that subscription money
I'm not a fan of Adobe (look at how shite Acrobat STILL IS) but I don't see them leaving + so many pipelines/classes are already based around their software. These hooks are never leaving