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If this holds, what’s the precedent set for his coconspirators and their runs for political office?
The same. If the Supreme Court acknowledges the validity of this law then criminals like Jim Jordan could be removed from Congress.
And Gaetz and Tommy Tube and 100% human senator Ted Cruz, amongst others.
Lovely as that sounds I can't imagine this Supreme Court ruling against Trump. Maybe if you could somehow erase their memory so they make a ruling without consideration of current politics.
The interesting bit is that it's members of the federalist society arguing that Trump shouldn't run.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/10/us/trump-jan-6-insurrection-conservatives.html
Trump doesn't really understand law, and it's the federalists that provided him with a list of right-wing judges to pick from, and it's really federalists rather than Trump supporters who ended up capturing the supreme court.
Normally they're both extremely right-wing so the gap doesn't matter, but if the federalists turn on Trump you could see some supreme court judgements go against him.
Sadly, I'm forced to agree with you. In spite of their claim to be "Originalists" they have a curious habit of ignoring both law and precedent whenever it suits them. I don't trust them to accurately name the color of the clear sky at noon.
Also issuing rulings and then saying "but don't use this as precedent" which just means "we reserved the right to rule differently when it is politically expedient," or perhaps, "we already know this is a bad ruling but we really want this person to win in this case."
Yeah, just like they cited a 1600s witch hunter to justify ending Roe, they'd cite a misinterpretation of Homer as proof that the sky isn't blue if it would help them politically and therefore economically..
Curse those sloppy elves! Next they'll be claiming there's no such thing as a fish!
Yeah, this genuinely annoyed me to find out! I'm a huge fan of the show and want all of the weird claims to be true..with the possible exception of the fish denialism 😂
Originalism just means making up whatever they want and pretending it's really what the framers wanted.
If they had previously held federal office, they would likely be successfully challenged as well.
If they had previously held any office or position - federal, state, local, military - where they took an oath to support the United States Constitution.