this post was submitted on 16 Jun 2023
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No Stupid Questions

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I mean there's Reddit ofc, as well as Twitter in its entirety, Discord is implementing some dumb updates, there are issues with Tumblr as well as everything to do with Meta, and I'm sure there are plenty more (and I haven't even touched other digital media, for example the Sims). Why is it all happening in the span of about a couple months?

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[–] [email protected] 64 points 1 year ago (4 children)

It's the money.

US Fed has raised interest rates, destroying money for the first time in decades in an effort to stop our inflation problem

The knock on effects is that banks literally have less money to lend to companies. Some companies are affected more than others by this environment. Tech was hit hard, extremely hard.

With hundreds of thousands of layoffs, tech industry is contracting. Silicon Valley bank literally evaporated in the span of 3 days. Twitter was losing money and had to sell out. StackOverflow is losing money and is currently selling out.

In this environment, Reddit is about to launch it's long awaited IPO, the time when the public is allowed to directly buy Reddit stock and invest into the company. That's what Initial Public Offering means. If Reddit does well, Reddit will pull in lots of money this year through this IPO.

The CEO of Reddit needs to prove Reddit is profitable, or if not profitable... Will eventually be profitable. Stockholders don't care about Reddit drama for the most part, but most are smart enough to read financial sheets. Reddit needs to show growing revenue, growing profits and cutting costs to attract money.

As such, all of what Reddit's CEO has done makes sense in the context of the IPO. He is betting that shareholders won't notice the drop of high quality content creators from Reddit, since that's not a financial number that's reported. He can IPO, raising millions, maybe even billions for himself. The golden parachute outta here when everything gets screwed up in a year or two and collapses.

I think today's investors are smarter though, and the bearish economy and high interest rates means more investors will pay attention to underlying issues.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Generally the drama isn't a big deal. But in a specific case the only value of the site is in the community moderation and the depth of data on the site.

He needs investors to buy in but he also needs advertisers to buy in. Advertisers do not love paying for negative drama.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago

I don't think that Reddit can compete against Youtube, Facebook, or TikTok with regards to ads.

They can make some money, yes. But Reddit will never have high-end ad revenue, not with its current model (or any changes they're making).

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 year ago

U just enlightened me sir. Thank you.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

I disagree in it really making sense (at leastlong term, but I recognize this is also "normal" for these corporate types) - it destroys long term viability for short term goals.

Happens all over the corporate world. They are encouraged to operate this way usually the guy there when the actions were taken getz out well before those long term consequences arrive. Hopefully Steve does bear the consequences himself, he dezerves it for being a horrible person in general.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago

Yeah, investors are going to be even more inclined to identify exactly why the platform might be successful in the future. They’re not going to blindly throw money at new IPOs (as much) because debt isn’t free anymore.