this post was submitted on 18 Sep 2024
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Microblog Memes

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[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 months ago (1 children)

When 2 satellites collide, the pieces don't all stay on the same altitude. Even though none of them will be in a stable orbit, all it takes is for one piece to smack into a satellite that's a bit higher up before it de-orbits, and boom, now you've got a debris field that won't de-orbit.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

Pieces don’t gain kinetic energy in a collision. Even if they collide and get sent off in an “upwards” direction, it’s not up very far relative to the orbit, and that’s just a less circular orbit at lower speed that will burn up even faster

For you scenario to work, there would have to be a chain reaction

  • collision, sending a few pieces upwards
  • during that small number of orbits they survive, collision, sending a few pieces upward
  • repeat many times

Each chance is remote enough, and ricocheting pieces only go so far, and any higher satellites they could reach are also low orbit, that I can’t imagine how remote the chances of this happening are

Kessler syndrome is a real worry, but not in this low orbit