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New election poll shows low-income voters flocking to Kamala Harris over Donald Trump
(www.usatoday.com)
this post was submitted on 05 Sep 2024
89 points (94.9% liked)
United States | News & Politics
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Just a reminder that political polls are absolute trash in case you're new
”Clinton led in almost every nationwide and swing-state poll, with some predictive models giving Clinton over a 90 percent chance of winning.[18][19]
On Election Day, Trump over-performed his polls, winning several key swing states, while losing the popular vote by 2.87 million votes.”
People even lie is significant ratios in exit polls and tell the pollsters/media what they think they want them to say.
Plenty of predictive models showed Clinton having a 60% chance of winning, almost a toss-up. Trump overperformed, but not by much, and his EC win looks significantly larger on paper than it does when comparing state vote counts.
Polls usually are pretty accurate. Election pundits howeverrrr...