this post was submitted on 09 Jul 2024
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[โ€“] [email protected] 0 points 3 months ago (1 children)

This isn't really true in this election. Usual caveats, I'm voting blue and all that.

But likely voter polls favor Biden more than registered voters. There's straight up not a linear regression of people voting to democratic winners like this presents. It's bad statistics.

People who don't pay attention to politics at all are more likely to vote for Trump. I think that makes a lot of sense. People who pay attention aren't as likely to vote for him as people who don't really follow.

[โ€“] [email protected] -1 points 3 months ago

Uhoh! Someone is below the 10,000 word caveat requirement! That makes you a secret russian Republican terrorist!