this post was submitted on 06 Jul 2024
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Politics
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GTFOH with this bullshit.
It's really a shame that the President makes every single decision on his own and handles absolutely everything by himself. It would be a better system if we had some sort of "cabinet" of advisiors all focused on different areas of running the country. It would be more like an "administration" instead of just what we have, which is one single guy who does everything and look, Biden is too old to do all that. If only there was some other way that he could have some assistance....
This is an argument for why Biden is able to lead. Speaking for myself, I'm not so worried that Biden is unable to lead. He's old and obviously slowing down, but he's got decades of experience and, as you say, a whole administration's worth of expertise.
I'm worried that he is unable to win.
At this point, no one else can. Straight up. To think otherwise is fucking delusional and demonstrates a lack of knowledge of us politics and it's populace.
Polling - released by Biden's campaign to try to prove his electability - shows other Democratic candidates right now performing just as well or slightly better than Biden with voters, and none of them have been running a campaign for the last year. In other words, without even trying and without the same level of name recognition, they are on par with Biden, and none of them have the baggage he does.
In the voting booth, incumbents ALWAYS have a MASSIVE advantage.
Polling is incredibly unreliable. That is people that pick up the phone and talk to pollsters. Do you know anyone under 60 who does that? Additionally, a lot of those calls are on landlines. How many people do you know who have landlines? How many of those are under 60?
The polls are heavily skewed towards boomers. This is the last election where boomers will be relevant. Millennials and Gen Z matter more in this election than ever before.
Replacing an incumbent 3-4 months before an election is the stupidest fucking idea since trickle down economics.
I suspect that most voters won't even think about that. This is the same voterbase that likes to vote based on who they'd rather have a beer with. I'd rather have a more informed populace, obviously, but the powers that be keep control by encouraging political ignorance, or failing that, learned helplessness. In the U.S., people legitimately think liberalism is left wing. How many Americans are capable of actually defining socialism? I don't want to infantilize people, but we've got to work with what we have, and what we have is a deeply propagandized population that's choosing apathy and despair in the specter of fascism. Joe Biden's approval rating is 37%. People do not like him. The media keeps hammering him because they want Trump back(Trump brings views and much of the mainstream media has been captured by billionaires). The margin of victory in the swing states last time was so slim that a few thousand staying home this time around would flip it. I would be fine with another Biden term. We could Weekend at Bernie's him through and everything would be fine. I just have severe doubts that people would see it my way, and so I feel his electability has tanked.
I really hope I'm wrong.
I suggest you look up presidential approval rating statistics for 2nd term races.