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Not an ELI5, sorry. I'm an AI PhD, and I want to push back against the premises a lil bit.
Why do you assume they don't know? Like what do you mean by "know"? Are you taking about conscious subjective experience? or consistency of output? or an internal world model?
There's lots of evidence to indicate they are not conscious, although they can exhibit theory of mind. Eg: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2308.08708.pdf
For consistency of output and internal world models, however, their is mounting evidence to suggest convergence on a shared representation of reality. Eg this paper published 2 days ago: https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.07987
The idea that these models are just stochastic parrots that only probabilisticly repeat their training data isn't correct, although it is often repeated online for some reason.
A little evidence that comes to my mind is this paper showing models can understand rare English grammatical structures even if those structures are deliberately withheld during training: https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.19827
You sound like a chatbot who's offended by it's intelligence being insulted.
Bro is lost in the sauce
Maybe I misunderstood the OP? Idk
I would argue that it is quite obviously correct, but that the interesting question is whether humans are in the same category (I would argue yes).