this post was submitted on 25 Mar 2024
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Donald Trump would be on track to win a historic landslide in November — if so many US voters didn’t find him personally repugnant.

Roughly 53 percent of Americans have an unfavorable opinion of the former president. And yet, when asked about Trump’s ability to handle key issues — or the impact of his policies — voters routinely give the Republican candidate higher marks than President Biden

In a YouGov survey released this month, Trump boasted an advantage over Biden on 10 of the 15 issues polled. On the three issues that voters routinely name as top priorities — the economy, immigration, and inflation — respondents said that Trump would do a better job by double-digit margins. 

Meanwhile, in a recent New York Times/Siena College poll, 40 percent of voters said that Trump’s policies had helped them personally, while just 18 percent said the same of Biden. If Americans could elect a normal human being with Trump’s reputation for being “tough” on immigration and good at economics, they would almost certainly do so.

Biden is fortunate that voters do not have that option. But to erase Trump’s small but stubborn lead in the polls, the president needs to erode his GOP rival’s advantage on the issues.

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[–] [email protected] 33 points 7 months ago (4 children)

Bull puckey, dumps would in no way definable be "on track to win a historic landslide".

He didn't win by a landslide in 2016, he lost in 2020, and he's in a far weaker position today than in either of those elections.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Friendly reminder he lost the popular vote in 16.

[–] [email protected] 12 points 7 months ago

And 20. Woop woop.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 7 months ago (1 children)

They're so desperate to create false realities.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 7 months ago

They gotta get those page views and ad impressions.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 7 months ago (1 children)

I think you misread that line. They meant if Trump was less of a personally crazy person, but made the same accomplishments, he would be on the way to win by a landslide when you also consider bidens popularity.

That being said hope your right. Polls don't look great and I'd rather have them saying that trump is looking very bad.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 months ago (1 children)

I don't think dumps would be on track to win by a landslide or even a margin taking into account all contemporary factors, including biden's ostensible poll popularity.

I understand the line, it does not reflect reality.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (1 children)

He lost by an extremely thin margin in 2020 and that was on the back of COVID and before people had a chance to experience four years of Biden. I have no idea how you're this confident. Does this look promising to you?

And before you all jump down my throat thinking I want Trump to win: I hate that fucker and hope he dies before the election.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (1 children)

Has a chance? Sure.

"On track to win a historical landslide"? Not at all. Zero evidence for that.

That picture does not look promising or relevant.

Don't cast your assumptions on me to attack them; make up whatever throat-jumping stories you like, but leave me out of them.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

"On track to win a historical landslide"? Not at all. Zero evidence for that.

The article doesn't claim that. It claims that a generic Republican would be on track to win a historical landslide. But not Trump because of his unfavorability.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (1 children)

I don't know which article you read, but:

"Donald Trump would be on track to win a historic landslide in November — if so many US voters didn’t find him personally repugnant."

That's exactly the case the article is making, and that case has no legs to stand on.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

What? Did you read it? It shows generic R polling vs. Biden winning big but Trump v. Biden polling low. That indicates that the majority of Americans would be open to a Republican Presidency, just not a Trump presidency. They make the case with polling data.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Wow, hyperbolic polling "data" that is consistently inaccurate and being constantly manipulated and interfered with hypothesizing a fictional republican representative with zero adverse character traits?

Weird that people aren't giving that more weight...

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Wow, hyperbolic polling “data” that is consistently inaccurate

Citation needed.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)
[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Did you read that article? Their first example of a polling "miss":

The average poll in the week before election day had Mehmet Oz beating John Fetterman by nearly 1% in Pennsylvania when in reality Fetterman beat Oz by nearly 5%

Pollsters were actually calling that race a toss up (also 538's page. There were several polls that predicted a slim Oz and several that predicted a slim Fetterman. Even the Republican leading pollster that was predicting a 1% the wrong way has a confidence interval of +/- 2.5 and had 4.9% other/undecided factor in the poll.

People are angry that they can't read polls. They're angry that a toss up is just that.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

Did you read it? It goes on to describe larger polling errors(14%) that resulted consistently in multiple elections going the opposite way of the polls.

Polls are consistently inaccurate.

You can read the whole article instead of the first sentence.