this post was submitted on 10 Nov 2024
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politics

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Summary

Americans, frustrated with high prices despite a strong economy, voted for change with Donald Trump’s election. Trump promises to reverse Biden-era policies, vowing steep tariffs, tax cuts, and mass deportations.

Economists warn his plans could worsen inflation, increase the federal deficit, and destabilize growth. The Peterson Institute predicts Trump's tariffs could drive up costs for American consumers, while deportations could shrink GDP by $5.1 trillion.

His proposed tax cuts could add $4.1 trillion to the deficit, while economists question his willingness to address fiscal imbalances through spending cuts.

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[–] [email protected] 84 points 5 days ago (2 children)

Sorry, folks! Only inflation, death, and Great Depression 2.0 ahead. Moose out front should have told, ya.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 5 days ago (3 children)

Don't forget the next great pandemic . This time with less chicken and pork.... mabe beef too. Tbh probably alot of other goods.

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[–] [email protected] 9 points 5 days ago (1 children)

And it isn't even Wally World on the other side...

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[–] [email protected] 64 points 5 days ago (1 children)

Economic change will come. Food +15-35% Imported goods +20-45% Taxes will rise Wages will stagnate Unions will be busted Social services will be discontinued

[–] [email protected] 9 points 5 days ago (2 children)

If tariffs are instated, unions will gain a huge amount of leverage in those industries domestically, even with a hostile NLRB.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (1 children)

You think fascists aren't going to criminalize unions? The constitution, rule of law, precedent... None of these arbitrary barriers mean anything to tyrants, especially tyrants with no checks ave balances; commanding the most advanced war machine in history.

All of this has happened before, and ~100 million people were murdered or killed. That's the equivalent of 400-500 million today. Europe and Asia were leveled. Nobody had nukes until the final 2 months, and those were all of the nukes in existence. Today there are several thousand.

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[–] [email protected] 8 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Except they won't be able to exercise that leverage for years, bringing manufacturing home is not just flipping a light switch. We don't even have basics

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[–] [email protected] 29 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Good luck with the tariffs, fascist bootlickers ❤

[–] [email protected] 21 points 4 days ago (1 children)

People genuinely don't understand this and it's scary.

I feel like I'm going crazy explaining what a tariff is to people over and over who have never heard the word before but are praising it as a way to make everything cheaper and boost our economy

[–] [email protected] 9 points 4 days ago (1 children)

The same dumb-dumbs think Elon is both a brilliant businessman in the way he's running Xitter (now worth 80% less. I don't have an MBA, but I think that might not be a good way to run a business), AND think he would be just perfect for "fixing" our "wasteful" government spending.

SMH.

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[–] [email protected] 4 points 3 days ago (1 children)

He's going to undo Biden-era policies that attempted to correct Trump-Era policies so he can continue making shit policy.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 days ago

And he has a corrupt supreme court to rubber stamp every unconstitutional law he proclaims.

[–] [email protected] 40 points 5 days ago

People about to be surprised that the leopards are eating their faces.

[–] [email protected] 51 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (4 children)

They are going to miss the shit out of Biden before long.

Prices are already going up and layoffs are already starting in anticipation of the tariffs.

All the while, Trump and his rich buddies are going to rob us blind.

I wonder what the new social security retirement age is going to be.

[–] [email protected] 41 points 5 days ago (1 children)

I wonder what the new social security retirement age is going to be.

Death will set you free.

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[–] [email protected] 32 points 5 days ago (1 children)

No they won't miss Biden . They will keep blaming the immigrants and vote Trump.

The beatings will continue until the promises of Trump are achieved.... They will cheer for the beatings and say the only reason it isn't working because there aren't more beatings m

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Very true. It's been this way since forever. It's a lot like big-C Communism: conservatism can never fail, only people can fail conservatism by not doing it HARD enough or properly enough, etc...same cult-like belief. It doesn't matter how miserable conservative policies make everyone (but the very upper 1% of 1%), we aren't doing enough of it.

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[–] [email protected] 28 points 4 days ago

You goddamn rubes. You've fucked us all.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Prices will come down in two weeks everyone. Just like their infrastructure plan, their ACA replacement, his taxes...

[–] [email protected] 5 points 4 days ago

They'll come down even before he is in office, because "the markets anticipate his miraculousness, you silly libs!"

[–] [email protected] 41 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (5 children)

I am too, which is why am buying appliances I've been putting off and a gaming PC before the end of the year and getting my garden ready to go and got my deep freezer full of food.

Oh just to share the phyrric victory of Trump's last round of tariffs.

https://taxfoundation.org/blog/international-trade-commission-tariffs/

TLDR:

Through one lens, the tariff policy was a success. Imports of washers declined steadily between 2017 and 2022. The ITC reports that imports were 90 percent lower in 2022 than they were in 2017. As a consequence, the “domestic industry gained market share and improved its financial performance during the 2018-22 period,” the ITC determined.

The irony, however, is that the entire increase in domestic market share was driven by washers made by Samsung and LG in their new U.S. factories. The fortunes of the incumbent domestic manufacturers not only failed to improve—they continued to decline.

....

The results suggest that cheap imports were not the problem for incumbent domestic producers who sought protections, nor were the protectionist tariffs the solution. Incumbent producers proved unable to compete before and after the protections.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 5 days ago (3 children)

In the case of the washers it still generated USA based jobs. I think the major concern is things that aren't manufactured in the USA atscale or at all. Computer chips come to mind with the majority being imported. It'll take time to build factories and train workers.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 5 days ago

The CHIPS act already kicked off that process. Of course Trump will take credit for it once those factories are online in a few years.

[–] [email protected] 13 points 5 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

The point of that Trump tarrif plan was to bolster the current American company manufacturing and did nothing but cost American manufacturing companies and the continued decline of actual American companies.

This cockamamie plan for blanket tariffs isn't going to produce anything close to washers and like you said chips.

Speaking of computer chips, which Biden/Harris spurred on with the CHIPS Act with a TSMC plant in Arizona, that has problems getting skilled workers, we import a lot of raw materials to produce then as well as higher cost of labor. Add tariffs.

Now think of food, we actually export a ton of it. Now think about tariffs, those going down just like with Trump tariffs when other countries retaliated in the trade war, costing billions.

We import a shit ton of food, both in season and out of season, why do you think we still have tomatoes in winter. Blanket tariffs and good luck bringing that back that never existed.

Same goes for clothing, shoes, we don't make those we don't have the factories, labor, or enough raw materials. Tariffs.

I'm not against targeted tariffs, they can produce results, though like above might not be what you actually wanted, but this trumpian fever dream isn't a smart idea.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 days ago

Another concern is just where the labor is supposed to come from

The USA unemployment rate is currently below the long term average and they're planning for mass deportations.

What are they going to give up doing in order to restart basic manufacturing?

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[–] [email protected] 8 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Tinfoil hat time. What if Trump convinced food CEOs to make everything expensive and then when he returns they put the prices down.

[–] [email protected] 20 points 4 days ago (3 children)

Occam's Razor time, he doesn't have to do anything because we are on the downslope of the inflation. He just has to sit there and tweet for a year, then claim credit. And the same low information voters who said it was Biden's fault bread went from $2 to $5, will praise his economic prowess.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 3 days ago (1 children)

If inflation works like it has in the past, prices are not returning to their prior amounts, though. The brainstems won't be able to grasp that, I'd wager.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 3 days ago (1 children)

Exactly.

If inflation is 10% in one year and falls to 2% the next then stuff is still 12% more expensive than it was two years ago.

I can't help wondering how many people who voted in the last election understand this though. Single digits?

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 days ago

Given my time on this planet and how I've seen get very basic things related to math so very, very wrong, I would say it's likely to be a disappointing answer.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Who the hell is buying $5 bread.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 days ago

I was actually quoting a buddy of mine. That was his reasoning:

If a loaf of bread goes from $2 to $5 in one presidential term somebody fucked up

You have to love those GOP talking points. State some facts, then intentionally come to all the wrong conclusions. World class whiners.

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[–] [email protected] 9 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Good. Bring on the economic pain. The worst case scenario is if he actually improved things while doing the evil he promised

[–] [email protected] 8 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Tariffs/wars will show a long term price hike, but there will be some products that decrease in price giving people strawmen. When countries place tariffs back against us, our exports will drop. When they do those products will have a surplus until they slow production to meet new expectations. When they have the surplus the prices will drop to sell the extra product. Once that product line is sold, and they lower their production to get their profit margins back up, that's when prices will increase for those products. Last time soybeans were one of those products I believe.

[–] [email protected] 34 points 5 days ago

It's hilarious how gullible right wing losers are. They really think Trump gives a shit about them. Numbskulls

[–] [email protected] 25 points 5 days ago

Another ... Brexit

All over again

[–] [email protected] 16 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (1 children)

Hmmmm what do you call it when you STAGnate the economy (like by shrinking it $5.1T) and cause inFLATION (by returning to fucking mercantilist economic policy)? Sounds so familiar....

[–] [email protected] 16 points 4 days ago

I call it Trump-flation, and I think everyone else should do the same.

[–] [email protected] 20 points 5 days ago (5 children)

I predict increase in marijuana sales over the next four years.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 4 days ago

If the Heritage Foundation gets its way you won’t be able to buy weed legally.

[–] [email protected] 16 points 4 days ago

I imagine weed will become illegal again… along with porn. Family values…

[–] [email protected] 16 points 5 days ago

Nah, there's a good chance the DEA will continue enforcing federal laws even in states that have legalised it.

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[–] [email protected] 23 points 5 days ago

Lol. You’re gonna get fucked you idiots.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 4 days ago

Hey, the stock market and crypto went up even HIGHER and donvict is not even in office. Aren't they all millionaires now?

But I'm told that economic indicators like that are not something the qons are interested in, because "but I felt poor, you guyyz!!!1111"

We'll see how long that lasts, won't we? The same dumbshits that were blathering on about how eggs were costing $20 each and bacon went up 11-bazillion-percent are going to be pointing at the stock market if that is doing ok, and corporations are still gouging away on grocery prices...

[–] [email protected] 9 points 4 days ago

The economic situation is a 50 year problem. Since 1973 the bottom half of Americans wages went up only $3 despite inflation. Good luck Trump, you won't get through this trap you have set for yourself

[–] [email protected] 14 points 5 days ago

Get your PC parts now while you can. You’ll regret sitting on that new video card or ram upgrade in a few months.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 days ago

Maybe prices will come down with the next downturn. Will be tough to hold a job to pay those reduced prices, but at least the prices are lower.

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