this post was submitted on 24 Oct 2024
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Formula 1

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago)

Carlos Sainz fans rn "So you're telling me there is a chance"

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 weeks ago

My money's still on max taking it out

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 weeks ago

Yeah, but very unlikely that Max lose this championship. Hopefully there will be a fight at end of the season

[–] [email protected] 2 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

Very much still Max's to lose. Like... 57 points? If he DNF'd twice, absolutely, Lando could take it, but even if Lando and Oscar consistently 1-2'd, with fastest lap, the most McLaren could do, if Max places 3rd every weekend it's unwinnable without sprints (11pts a weekend, x5 weekends, 55 of 57 needed points advantage).

In reality, even a decent Max Verstappen can lock out this championship with ease. So long as Red Bull don't catastrophically tank his car for a few of these weekends.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

Mechanical DNFs can happen to anybody. Statistically Lando has a higher chance to DNF based of a mechanical issue, since he hasnt had one yet. But as the old racing saying goes: to finish first you have finish.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 3 weeks ago

Statistically Lando has a higher chance to DNF based of a mechanical issue, since he hasnt had one yet.

I don't think that's how statistics work.