this post was submitted on 17 Oct 2024
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Ukraine

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Ukraine is seriously considering the possibility of restoring nuclear weapons. This is reported by Bild with reference to a source.

“We have the materials, we have the knowledge. If there is an order, it will only take us a few weeks to get the first bomb,” said a Ukrainian official.

And Western countries should think less about Russia’s red lines and much more about Ukraine’s red lines.

According to analyst Julian Repke, a condition for restoring the nuclear weapons Ukraine has surrendered could be a second attempt by the Russian Federation to go after Kyiv.

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 3 hours ago
[–] [email protected] 98 points 11 hours ago (5 children)

Didn't Ukraine give up its nukes specifically under the condition that Russia would leave them alone as a free independent nation? Seems those terms went out the window years ago.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 5 hours ago
[–] [email protected] 51 points 11 hours ago (1 children)

Exactly. That treaty was already violated. So there is no longer any treaty preventing them from becomming a nuclear power again.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 11 hours ago

I'm surprised it took them this long to even threaten the idea, although it could simply be that they already built some weapons to have a stockpile before the announcement. I can totally see Putin thinking "oh they only have one bomb, that's an acceptable loss to stop them from building more before we have another MAD stalemate."

[–] [email protected] 14 points 9 hours ago (1 children)

By years ago, ypu mean 2014?

[–] [email protected] 4 points 7 hours ago

I thought it was 2016, but yeah, somewhere around then.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 10 hours ago (2 children)

And that the US would protect them if attacked.

'93 Budapest protocol I believe

[–] [email protected] 8 points 8 hours ago* (last edited 7 hours ago) (1 children)

That is not what the Budapest Memorandum says. It's really short so you can just read it but it only requires the US to bring the matter to the UN security counsel which they have. Russia has violated most provisions but the US hasn't violated any.

[–] [email protected] 7 points 6 hours ago

Knew I was missing something.

Kinda seems like a moot clause considering Russia has veto powers in the UNSC.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 7 hours ago (1 children)

Ah I wasn't aware of that part of the deal. I wonder if they're threatening nukes because they're getting nervous that Trump might get re-elected and not honor that deal?

[–] [email protected] 5 points 5 hours ago

They're threatening to build nukes because they have nukes, I believe both France and Israel came out as nuclear nations in the same "we'll just float becoming a nuclear nation and see what happens."

There's still Soviet nuclear material missing and Ukraine has both mines and the know how to assemble older nukes anyway because that was done to some extent in Ukraine during the Soviet Union.

[–] [email protected] 9 points 10 hours ago (1 children)

Yes and that exchange has been observed by the whole world. I doubt we will ever see one like it again

[–] [email protected] 8 points 10 hours ago (1 children)

Anyone that gives up all of their nukes is nuts.. as demonstrated by the Ukraine case.

You might limit the amount, how many do you really need .. not thousands.. that's expensive anyway.

With this message I would not be surprised if in some underground mining complex Ukraine has centrifuges being installed already.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 hours ago (1 children)

Well they claim they have what they need already.

Unknown if that's for a dirty bomb or a true nuclear fission weapon

[–] [email protected] 3 points 9 hours ago

They have ballistic missiles and plenty of nuclear materials. If the nuclear materials are weapons grade is doubtfull but not impossible

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 hours ago (1 children)

Ukrainian nuclear weapons aren't a credible threat to Russia, for the same reason Russia's aren't to Ukraine: It isn't under an immediate threat of being wiped out, just losing territory. I think this is aimed more at the United States, trying to pressure them into keeping up or increasing aid with the threat of nuclear proliferation (as Japan, Taiwan and Saudi Arabia have done). There is also the possibility that in a Trump administration, loss of US aid could turn the war back into an existential threat where nuclear weapons could be used.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 hour ago

To threaten Russia all you need to do is threaten Moscow and Petersburg. The rest of the country basically doesn't exist as far as power structures are concerned.

[–] [email protected] 55 points 13 hours ago

As much as I hate to see nuclear proliferation, Russia hasnt really given Ukraine much choice in the matter, seeing that Russia is willing to invade any non-nuclear states around it.

[–] [email protected] 18 points 10 hours ago (1 children)

Do it. It could neutralize the threats from Russia about dropping nuclear bombs. It might be the only to get the scaredy-cats in Western Europe to agree to long-range weapons since Russia's threats would be quite useless.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 8 hours ago* (last edited 8 hours ago)

Long range weapons and more weapons too.

One can hope.

Edit: BTW the image looks like a screenshot from C&C lol

[–] [email protected] 24 points 11 hours ago

Unfortunately this is the only kind of language Russia understands.

[–] [email protected] 30 points 12 hours ago

Understandable. Sad, but understandable.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 11 hours ago (2 children)

Looks like roasted orc is back on the menu boys.

Seriously though, I doubt Ukraine would turn their own land into a radioactive wasteland. Which means they would fling them into russia. Which would escalate things

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 hour ago

Russia launches nukes at Ukraine and it'll be WWIII

[–] [email protected] 6 points 10 hours ago (1 children)

Which would escalate things

ROFL D'YA THINK!

[–] [email protected] 5 points 10 hours ago (1 children)

I do. Which means the whole strategy of the announcement is simply to get more conventional weapons support from supportive nations.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 9 hours ago* (last edited 9 hours ago)

LOL you jump to conclusions with such confidence

[–] [email protected] 9 points 13 hours ago
[–] [email protected] 1 points 11 hours ago* (last edited 11 hours ago) (1 children)

Fuck it, three years of lil' putin's failed invasion and thousands of tankies being downvoted into a red paste we have to hose out of the square (lmao, see what I did there), nuke 'em.

That's what they want, a bloody war to appease the 5'6" neofuhrer.

Let's oblige.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 7 hours ago

That's a brilliant plan. Nuclear armed countries generally have a policy of "live and let live" once they get nuked so that should work out great.