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Latest Harris-Trump poll highlights danger for former president in Florida (www.usatoday.com)

submitted 1 month ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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[-] [email protected] 48 points 1 month ago

Trump is losing independent voters in FL by seven points in this poll. He lost independents by 11 points to Biden in FL in 2020, according to exit polls.

Registered Republicans outnumber registered Democrats by 1 million in FL. That is keeping Trump in the lead but if Harris wins independents by 7 points nationwide, the EC won’t be close.

[-] [email protected] 51 points 1 month ago

the fact that there are harris voters making noise in the villages, of all places, should be making trump re-shit his already shat pampers

[+] [email protected] 23 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

[deleted]

[-] [email protected] 22 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

In 2020 Florida was only won by 3.5%. That isn't large enough to be considered a safe state. Now you could argue that it has shifted a good deal one way, and that may be true. It's also worth mentioning Florida has about 0% chance at being the tipping point state. If Florida is even close to turning blue Harris already won, and the closer sunbelt and southern states like NC and Georgia likely have already gone blue as well.

If anything boosting Democrat enthusiasm in the state means more to helping lower elections than it would have an affect on the top of the ticket.

[-] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago

I think there is fuckery with the numbers being reported. I don't think you can trust the officials there not to be playing some game.

[-] [email protected] 10 points 1 month ago

In a couple of weeks Harris-Wallz will isolate states that are close or have a good chance of turning. They do this with statistical analysts and on the ground reporting. They might even do it to promote the down ballot. Florida and Texas will both be looked at. You'll know by that and the money they pour into those states

[-] [email protected] 7 points 1 month ago

It's worth mentioning recreational pot and abortion are on the ballot this November as well. There's very likely to be a larger progressive presence at the polls in FL

[-] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago

I just hope the democrats don't make the same mistake they did in 2016, where their internal polling said they could get Texas, so they spent a ton of resources there instead of the swing states she actually needed. Biden ran his campaign in the right places, and Harris should do the same and not get distracted by a juicy red state.

[-] [email protected] 5 points 1 month ago

If Biden had a strong lead among independents in 2020 than harris does now and still lost there, doesn’t that suggest that Harris is currently less likely to take FL? Or is there something that’s changed between 2020 and 2024 that boosts Harris’ chances?

[-] [email protected] 4 points 1 month ago

I think Death Sentence closed a ton of poling places and made it extremely difficult to vote.

[-] [email protected] 2 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Then get Mail in ballots, I got mine easily and voted in the primaries and got an email my votes have been received

[-] [email protected] 3 points 1 month ago

What’s EC, exit count?

[-] [email protected] 14 points 1 month ago

Electoral College

[-] [email protected] 7 points 1 month ago

Thank you for clarifying

[-] [email protected] 30 points 1 month ago

Fuck the polls, go vote.

[-] [email protected] 13 points 1 month ago

Yo I'm.a Florida voter that is a solid Kamala vote...and D down the ticket, fuck the new Nazi party

[-] [email protected] 6 points 1 month ago

And tell everyone you know to vote.

Offer carpools.

[-] [email protected] -3 points 1 month ago

USA Today - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)

Information for USA Today:

MBFC: Left-Center - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Mostly Factual - United States of America
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https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/08/13/kamala-harris-trump-florida-polls/74770114007/

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this post was submitted on 13 Aug 2024

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