this post was submitted on 13 May 2024
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Electric Vehicles

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[–] [email protected] 67 points 5 months ago (2 children)

Wtf are these crackheads doing? EV's are insanely simple machines compared to combustion ones. How could you ever fuck your production cost so much as to get losses like that. This feels like a manufactured failure to get bailed out or to stir public opinion on the whole china EV situation.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 5 months ago (3 children)

How could you ever fuck your production cost so much as to get losses like that.

It's because there is a lot of fixed cost being divided into a relatively small number of units. For instance "Ford Blue" is Ford's ICE division and in Q1 it moved about 626,000 units while "Ford Model e" is Ford's EV division and it only moved about 10,000 units in Q1. Source.

So if Ford Blue spends a Billion dollars that's a per vehicle cost of $1,597. If Ford Model e spends a Billion dollars its a per vehicle cost of $100,000.

So what would cost a Billion dollar? Well, how about 3 new battery factories plus an EV assembly factory that cost something like 7 Billion dollars?

That's not nearly all of it either. In May of 2021 Ford said that would spend something like 30 Billion by 2025 (that's next year!) to increase EV production.

So yeah, Ford has spent the GDP of some small countries shifting to EV production and when you divide those very large sums into a very small number of vehicles you get upside down real quick.

[–] [email protected] 11 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Agreed, and the proper response here is to increase volumes to amortize the costs across more units, not cut back production.

Unless your goal is to take a loss and write off your taxes for the construction costs of the new factories, only to increase production next year.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 5 months ago

I think the problem for Ford is that they bet on economic improvements that didn’t manifest. Both their current EVs are “premium” models, and that market is tapped, especially with new car loans costing 8%, and people can’t afford housing and groceries and a car payment.

Lightly used MachEs sell well at $25k. Which tells you that there is a price point for a new Focus electric. F150s are work trucks, not status vehicles, so more XL trims and fewer platinums, or better yet electric mavericks and rangers.

They should make a Lincoln MK Lightning if they want the truck to stay premium, but aim Fords to the working class like always and price them accordingly.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 5 months ago (2 children)

I dont think it would be fair to call that a loss per vehicle then. When they built their first vehicles long long ago they also mustve been in the red for a while. Thats called "investing in company infrastructure" and not "selling at a loss".

The money is paid, the loss of money is over. Surely they are making a per vehicle profit already and it will just take some time to go overall positive for their investment.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 months ago

That's how accounting works. You don't get to change the federally mandated accounting practices.

It's called GAAP

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/gaap.asp

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 months ago (2 children)

I dont think it would be fair to call that a loss per vehicle then.

It's common to break down the cost of Fixed Asset Investment to per unit produced by the investment. I won't comment on whether it's "fair" or not but it is common and it's how the article arrived at this eye popping "loss per vehicle" number.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago

This is why the incremental cost of a unit are often a better measure for longer term profitability and decision making than the unit average cost, especially when you aren't factoring in the market size and ability to repurpose sunk costs in that unit average cost.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Ok i guess thats how it is, still weird because you rarely see a per product profit value in this sort of format. Seems like they enjoy crying over losses and staying silent over profits.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)

Seems like they enjoy crying over losses and staying silent over profits.

It's not in the actual report put out by Ford. It's a creation of the Journalist who wrote the article. So you are unhappy with Julian van der Merwe, the author of the article.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago

it's* a per-vehicle cost

[–] [email protected] 19 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (2 children)

Ford has been mismanaged and only kept alive through BS, anticonsumer protectionist policies for decades at this point. It's my opinion that they genuinely don't even know how to run a successful business because "going under" hasn't been a real concern for them for longer than most of the executives have been at the company.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 5 months ago

TOO BIG TO FAIL

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 children)

What crack are you on? Ford makes money hand over foot making the best trucks for a while now. That's why they are alive despite a few (and I believe you're exaggerating) management missteps.

[–] [email protected] 8 points 5 months ago (3 children)

Ford makes money hand over foot making the best trucks for a while now

L M A (and I cannot stress this next part enough) O

[–] [email protected] 6 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 children)

Ford sold 200,000 pickup trucks in Q1 2024 while Toyota sold 50,000 so those links alone do not tell the whole story. Those recalls are relatively small compared to Ford's market.

Also, Fords are typically easier and cheaper to buy and there are more service centers for them. This is also related to them being the most popular fleet vehicle. Don't get me wrong, I'd love to have a Toyota, but there's a reason why you pay more for the "Toyota tax".

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 months ago

Nobody ever said consumers were rational!

[–] [email protected] 6 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Nothing in any of these links indicate that Ford is not profitable.

There's no reason to lie about these things, as Ford's financials are publicly available.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago (1 children)

This dude is just a Toyota fanboy. He literally said there is no reason to ever buy any other vehicle than a Toyota.

He also said that the manual Tacoma is more fuel efficient than the hybrid Maverick, so he's not the sharpest tool in the shed.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)

Toyota fanboy

I honestly hate a lot of Toyotas and Japanese cars in general. Very sterile, boring, but their reliability and repairability is just a known fact, which is why I would only recommend the brand to people who only need a car as an appliance. I am an unapologetic fanboy of vintage Volvos though.

He literally said there is no reason to ever buy any other vehicle than a Toyota.

I said that I'd never recommend anything maker other than Toyota for a new car buyer, which I wouldn't. There are no other makers right now with as strong of offerings as Toyota left. Some makers have competitive models, but no brand has as solid of a reputation.

Also wrong about the second part, I said that the stick Tacoma was more fuel efficient than the automatic, which I'll admit is not the case anymore

[–] [email protected] 5 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Everyone has recalls when you are selling millions. Ford has average reliability while being the most capable truck and having the features the owners buy. The f150 has the best interior, infotainment, and has the best ride. It's the second best hauler only beaten by the ram.New car owners have warranties and fin not care about most recalls. They drop off the car, get a free rental, and come back the next day in most cases.

If you've ever even purchased a new vehicle, much less a new truck, you clearly are an edge case in how you rate trucks and have no clue what is going on in the head of most potential truck buyers.

[–] [email protected] -2 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago) (1 children)

Ford has average reliability

best truck on the market

Well which one is it? I've literally only seen suburban LARPers who can't even thread a ratchet strap buy or defend Ford trucks. I've spent decades of my life on construction job sites. You wanna know how to separate the serious career guys from the burnout cons? The smart ones are driving paid off Toyotas and the idiots have light duty domestics.

most potential truck buyers

Most potential truck buyers are car buyers who get upsold on the lot.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago (1 children)

👌👍

You clearly know nothing of the market and buyers nor a willingness to understand. You just want to lecture buyers who have different priorities and needs and don't religiously follow /r/personalfiances buy a used Toyota take.

You fundamentally have misunderstood why Ford is successful, run your mouth about it, and then argued that the buyers are idiots. 👏👏👏

[–] [email protected] 2 points 5 months ago

Ah, yes, the American consumer. Famous for their great financial judgment and ability to live within their means.

You fundamentally have misunderstood why Ford is successful

Protectionist policies, corporate lobbying, hostage market, historical opposition to union labor, and outsourcing production to Mexico and China? I understand those reasons well.

You type like you're from Twitter (currently X) and I recommend you go back.

[–] [email protected] 46 points 5 months ago (1 children)

This is why the news is fixated on banning Chinese cars, because our companies suck

[–] [email protected] 5 points 5 months ago

Somewhat Ironically, the tariff increase against Chinese cars is mostly for political show. There are virtually no Chinese cars being sold in the US, and those that are sold are not chinese brands but American brands (e.g. Buick, Lincoln) manufactured in China. The reason there are no Chinese brands on the market is that the existing 25% tariff is already enough to make it very unattractive.

However Biden is hoping to win the support of United Auto Workers and the like, who are all afraid of losing their jobs to Chinese workers getting paid a tenth of what they make or w/e. Trump has been using the same talking points, suggesting tariffs on Chinese cars built in Mexico (I don't think that's a real thing at this point, just something that could happen). It's all political theater.

[–] [email protected] 33 points 5 months ago (2 children)

I bet there's some magical tax system in play here.

1 billion in imaginary r&d costs split over 1 years sales.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 5 months ago

This was the whole point of restructuring. Gaming our tax and legal system to maximize profits. Put all the losses into your LLC.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 5 months ago

It's basically the entire year cost divided by cars sold or something like that yes.

It's a terrible way to do it.

For example, pre pandemic, Ford was actually just gross margin positive on the sale of the Mach E, which was quite impressive, but it was overall a loss due to all the R&D.

This is the same attack people used against Tesla early on as well. Since the Model S, Tesla was nearly always gross margin positive on their vehicles, but because of the massive R&D were still in the red.

At any moment, Tesla could have dramatically slowed growth and been profitable sooner, but you don't grow and expand that way, so it was years of Tesla loses $X per car.

It was terrible then, it's terrible now, it'll always be terrible.

[–] [email protected] 19 points 5 months ago (1 children)

It's expensive moving to the next version of the product that the consumer demands?

Running an innovative business is not all fields of flowers and line-go-up record profit margins?

Who could possibly have guessed other than literally every textbook on economics, finance, innovation or business accounting?

/s

Ford needs to put on it's big boy pants and figure this out. There's only so much gas in the ground.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 5 months ago (2 children)
[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago

Relevant user name.

I do English good. But my keyboard doesn't two well.

[–] [email protected] -1 points 5 months ago

Its no tits

[–] [email protected] 18 points 5 months ago
[–] [email protected] 14 points 5 months ago

Ok how about I don't buy one then and they can just give me $120k instead. Win-win.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 months ago (2 children)

Ford will follow Toyota and make PHEV a good portion of their lineup.

The PHEV F150 and Maverick are perfect trucks. 80 miles will make sure you rarely use gas, and having 425bhp + not having to rely on charging stations will eliminate range anxiety.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 5 months ago (3 children)

PHEVs are kind of pointless because most consumers buying them tend to not actually flip to the electric mode during low-use periods, making the hybridized nature of the vehicle functionally useless.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 5 months ago

Maybe I'm not like most consumers but my ford phev is on electric 80-90% of the miles I've driven on it.

Then again, I heard from a family member. With a 4xe that the dealer had to convince them to plug it in when the low battery for long periods of time was causing problems.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Why the hell not? I drive a LOT, about 100 miles a day on average. I fill up my volt with gas once every 3 or 4 months. I save SO MUCH MONEY.

People not using the plug in part are just stupid (or don't have access to chargers, in which case why get a PHEV?)

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago (1 children)

It's a lack of awareness and training. People buying PHEV's have the right mindset, they want to be more efficient and helpful to the planet, but at the same time nobody is teaching them how to use the car effectively.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago

It's not rocket science. Plug the car in whenever possible. Done.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 5 months ago (2 children)

Even if used "properly", plug-in hybrids are a bad idea:

They are more complex than either a pure ICE or electric vehicle would be.

When used properly, the ICE plug-in will only activate during high load phases, e.g. highway travel. However, the engine at that point will be effectively cold-starting. Not only is thus the least efficient phase of generating energy from fuel, it also means the engine oil is not warm and fluid yet. This necessitates more expensive, less durable low viscosity engine oil. Also, engines deteriorate much quicker during irregular usage, especially during cold starts.

There's really no upside except getting government subsidies whenever the lobbies manage to get their Plugin-Hybrid qualified for it.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 5 months ago (1 children)

If you have a PHEV with a range of 40 miles on battery alone, you will hardly ever use the gas engine at all.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 5 months ago (1 children)

Absolutely true, but that still does not make phev the universal solution to climate friendly transportation :) .

It's more of an awkward stop gap measure. It's expensive and complex to make and maintain (!) and only really profitable for manufacturers due to subsidies as well.

[–] [email protected] -1 points 5 months ago

I'm just disagreeing with the "difficult to maintain because reasons" bit. You could easily go 300,000 miles on a PHEV with regular maintenance.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 5 months ago* (last edited 5 months ago)

Huh? Auto stopstart is very common.

Also starting from stopped is the worst for efficiency, as ICE cars produce optimally / most efficiently at a particular rpm

Edit Common use patterns are to supplement start stop with the electric motor, to get the Gas motor closer to it's ideal rpm before it does work.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 months ago

I wish ford would do that but I don't think they will. They're only bringing the phev ranger to Europe, and iirc started they had no plans to make the maverick a plug in. And the f150 already has the electric version in the lightning.