This seems like a big deal.
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https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/31/asia/north-korea-reconciliation-south-korea-intl-hnk/index.html
Probably following on from their cancellation of reunification as a goal. This is a smaller part of a bigger deal.
Eh that seems more like recognizing they're going to be 2 countries. No economic cooperation/development is something else
Do any armchair strategist have any theories on the possible intentions here?
Personally I think it is in preparation for what complete economic sanctions would look like if North Korea went to war.
They don’t need it any more. Arms exports to Russia are far more profitable.
I believe they are going to attack the moment China can or does not want to stop them anymore.
A Korean War would bind a significant amount of US resources. To Russia it could be very valuable at the time that they decide to seriously start messing with NATO countries.
Despite how much it pains me to admit that George Bush was right in one thing: There is an axis of evil. And it is getting ready.
I believe they are going to attack the moment China can or does not want to stop them anymore.
Considering China's whole military has recently been shown to be stripped bare by corruption from the top to the bottom, China's power in the world is shaken. They could pivot to letting DPRK off leash a little bit, as a threat to step aside and let DPRK do what they want with the nuclear weapons they absolutely have, now on missiles that can reach the west coast of the US.
How was China’s military shown to be stripped bare?
Bunch of top brass got pulled out after some of the corruption was discovered. Like rockets fueled with water.
But then Russia will not be able to get all that ammunition…
Studied a bit, still very much armchair.
My viewpoint is the increase in isolationist policies with the current trend towards resource and food shortages - look after their own so to speak. Can be easily countered with the argument that they always were isolationist anyway.
Other is that their trade is moving towards a new ally, building strength in a different area.... not naming any China or Russia in particular.
Ooh, I do!
Honestly, I think this is mostly symbolic - the economic cooperation between the two governments is about as minimal as it gets anyway, and the tourist scheme was already suspended for nearly a decade. Presumably there were no near term plans to resume the scheme, so it's not going to bring in any more money for the north. Might as well axe the legislation to give your rival the middle finger if it's not useful otherwise.
I think it would be an enormous strategic error for NK to engage in war any time soon, given China's military is not in a healthy state, and Russia is busy in Ukraine. A direct conventional conflict with SK would be extremely difficult to win with the difference in technology, even with their enormous military spending.
And nuclear weapons are, frankly, much more effective as a deterrent than as a weapon itself. Firing them on SK will inevitably trigger response fire from the US nuclear weapons stationed on the peninsula.
Yeah using nuclear weapons would be an extremely stupid idea considering it would cause the US to intervene immediately and with extreme force. I don’t think the US would use nukes, probably, but a full scale land, sea, air invasion would happen for sure.
Would we? How is that spending in Ukraine going?
Ukraine is a different story because Putin has NOT used nukes.
I see. So we do nothing when it is easy for us but we will act when it is dangerous for us?
Yes, that sounds like something we would do.
The US is in a perpetual conundrum where if they intervene, they get shit on for acting like the world police, but if they don’t, they get shit on for not helping.
Why do you think that is? Do you think 2003 might have had something to do with that?
I don’t think the US would use nukes
They're still the only country to ever use them. Twice.
That has nothing to do with the current state of the world.
It makes them also the next most likely candidate.
What the other guy said: No need, now that Russia is involved. And NK overestimates how much economic cooperation means for SK
Do any armchair strategist have any theories on the possible intentions here?
If there is anything the History Channel has taught me is if you don't know it is aliens. If you know it still might be aliens.
All of North Korea's problems can be solved by Levis blue jeans
Rusher