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The yes pamphlet: campaign’s voice to parliament referendum essay – annotated and factchecked
(www.theguardian.com)
this post was submitted on 21 Jul 2023
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I honestly think this is one of the biggest strategic errors they've made. It plays right into the hands of the fearmongers, by letting them imagine a world where the Voice has more power than it really does, and by letting them wedge people who would otherwise be supportive by claiming it won't adequately represent Indigenous people of all groups. It doesn't matter if these claims are untrue; by not having a specific plan available, people on the fence are more likely to fill in the gaps with the worst image their imagination can conjure up.
Those details can't be locked into the constitution - if they were we'd need a fresh referendum every time a minor detail needs to be changed.
Publicised details that haven't been worked out yet would allow the fear campaign to focus on Labor proposing changes to the constitution that don't line up with what they've said, which would be a disaster for the Yes vote. I think Labor knows what they're doing. Winning the referendum was never going to be a sure thing.
Also - if the referendum doesn't pass it will tarnish the LNP. Younger Australians, a demographic where 85% of people are in favour of The Voice, will stop thinking of LNP as "conservative" and instead think of them as "racist". The LNP might never recover from that. The cynic in me wonders of Labor deliberately brought this referendum upon us a little too early. If it fails, they can just repeat it in a few years when there will be more support (if only because a higher percentage of voters will from the generation of Aussies that clearly support The Voice)
Even if it does pass the LNP have gone pretty hard to try and stop it. I'm sure that they are already the party for old racists in the eyes of many young people. Since the Millennials aren't becoming more conservative as they age, this could end the LNP as a political force.