this post was submitted on 07 Feb 2024
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In eastern Ukraine, I foresee a long term South Ossetia/Abkhazia situation where most of the world doesn't recognise the new ""constitutional status"" but the Russians won't care because they are in de facto control of the region.
Meanwhile in the west we continue to dripfeed weapons and equipment to Ukraine which is just enough to keep them afloat but not enough to help them actually expel the Russians. We're both afraid of abandoning Ukraine to it's fate and Putin potentially using nuclear weapons if we go too far with our support. It's a shit show.