No Stupid Questions
No such thing. Ask away!
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I suspect your downvotes are due to your ridiculous all or nothing speculation. No one can base the future on what's happening right now. Yet you're speculating it's already failed. What a shit take.
We don't know if the fediverse will succeed yet on a larger scale. Sometimes migration is instant, like with digg, sometimes it takes time, like with Facebook exodus which is continuing as i type this. Not to mention people weren't prepared for this migration so none of the tools to make it a replacement have been in place. But now people are actively working on building out the community. Maybe we'll know in a couple years if this is a successful endeavor on a Reddit type scale. But we don't know yet.
How is it ridiculous? It's my 2 cent opinion, lightly founded in observation of when this happened several times in the past, with reddit and several other platforms, to a question, in a forum of less that 1k people, that requires speculation about the future.
Are you going to downvote all of the people saying it will succeed? Wtf? What is the correct answer to this question? And who's allowed to give it? There's not a correct or incorrect answer here, just a bunch of idiots guessing. If you don't understand that everyones opinion for this answer is fairly worthless here, then you're emotional and/or tribalistic. Feel free to influence the future with downvotes though. I'll continue enjoying reading what people have to say.