this post was submitted on 18 Jan 2024
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It will launch, spike up a little that day, then drop pretty hard for a month or so, getting down to about 60% of its launch price, before slowly gaining back up to around 80% of its launch price after several months.
Also, my prediction is that big puts will be selling for way higher than their likelihood, because so many retail investors want to to fail. So even though the stock will go down, tons of people will lose money betting that.
For sure. Calls and puts both will go overpriced. Be a lot of "enthusiasts" buying options for funsies thinking they'll totally be right.