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I think we can believe the number regarding violent crimes, especially murder, because those definitely get reported. I would think businesses also report larceny/retail theft because they have insurance implications as well. I agree that petty crimes against individuals is probably under reported. However, I would rely on the FBI data more than anything else because of length and trend of the data. Either people have continually decreased in reporting crimes since 1960s or crime has actually decreased since 1960s. The truth is probably somewhere in the middle.