Heavy election defeat could lead to Tory lurch to right, analysis shows (www.theguardian.com)

submitted 8 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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A catastrophic election defeat could lead to the parliamentary Conservative party tilting towards the populist right, Guardian analysis has indicated.

A projection of the seats the Conservatives would retain if there was a further two percentage point swing to Labour before election day, using data from Electoral Calculus, shows that about 40% of the remaining MPs would come from this wing of the party.

In less calamitous defeats – scenarios based on current polling levels, and on a situation where there is a two percentage point swing in favour of the Tories – the proportion would be nearer to 30%, roughly where it is now.

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[-] [email protected] 18 points 8 months ago

Lib Dems perhaps? Maybe the SNP doesn't get wiped out, that would be interesting. I know it's unlikely to happen, the UK is essentially a 2 party state at this point, but one can dream, right?

[-] [email protected] -5 points 8 months ago

It's not much of an opposition if it's from the same political side though, is it?

The duopoly is boring and we need a new voting system to properly reflect the nation's views, but you can't have a centre-left government with a centre-left opposition, because there wouldn't be any opposition!

[-] [email protected] 2 points 8 months ago

LibDems aren't the same political side. There's more the two opinions In politics.

[-] [email protected] 1 points 8 months ago

Might as well be at the moment. Two centrist liberal parties, except the Lib Dems are slightly more progressive in terms of stuff like voting reform

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this post was submitted on 28 Dec 2023

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