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Moore's law predicts life emerged 5 billion years before the Earth formed (archive.ph)

submitted 10 months ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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It was only a matter of time that we saw a TechTake from this guy. I'm sorry to inflict Peterson on y'all, but this was too funny not to post.

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[–] [email protected] 6 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

I'm not going to inflict a JP video on myself, so maybe someone else can help me with the math. Moore's law says the number of transistors in an IC doubles every 2 years. Earth is roughly 5 billion years old, so there have been roughly 5 billion doublings since his proposed time that life emerged. 2^5,000,000,000 is an absolutely unfathomable number compared to... anything really! So what am I missing here?

And looking at it the other way, if a "law" that has existed for only a matter of decades is being extrapolated back for billions of years, and is only off by a factor of 3-ish... that's pretty fucking solid endorsement of said law!

[–] [email protected] 11 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

The authors did not use Moore's law or transistors at all. They just thought it was a nifty idea so mentioned it bunches when talking about exponential growth or something.

Also I'm not sure I totally trust these authors after glancing over the paper, they seem a little too enthralled with the idea of alien DNA versus other possibilities like "Moore's law" not applying in the first place.

Also the paper is a decade old.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 10 months ago

Also the paper is a decade old.

And redolent of 'emerita disease' although I don't think the authors have technically achieved that honor.