this post was submitted on 22 Nov 2023
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I'm assuming catastrophic leak would mean the US government doesn't get to control the narrative. I'm not sure how the leak would be catastrophic for the average citizen.
government knew abductions were real and allowed them to go forward as tribute to avoid bigger trouble
alien fleet due to arrive in four years and we are sitting ducks
we are a genetic experiment, one of many, and our entire history has been shaped by aliens on a whim
ancient gods were actually aliens who came here and then left and are coming back
we are living in a simulation
aliens cause conflict and disease to harvest our psychic energy
etc
I'd go with
All of the hypothetical points would point to them wanting to control the narrative, in my opinion.
That is probably what is going on. The motive of doing their duty of disclosing intentionally according to a plan makes more sense then "cashing in" or "driven by conscience". Either of those are likely for isolated individuals but at this scale it's probably a psyop to prep for an eventual revelation (or something!).
General public perception of the government isn't exactly rosy as it is. It's hard to imagine what sort of leak would be catastrophic in terms of tanking public perception.
If anything, they could be transparent and put some trust back in the government.