this post was submitted on 06 Nov 2023
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Science Memes

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Sleeping Beauty Trolley Problem (mander.xyz)
submitted 1 year ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
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[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago (1 children)

No, your math is wrong. The chance you're on the main track is actually twice as high. Imagine it like this: When all numbers 1-6 would come up once, there have been 10 people overall on the main track and only 5 people on the side track

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

But 9 of those people can't affect the outcome either way. So the chance that you're on the main track and can affect the outcome in a positive way by flipping the switch is only 1/15.