this post was submitted on 10 Jul 2023
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This is the part of the post I find most interesting. Looks like Oracle won't be engaging in whatever workarounds Rocky Linux and AlmaLinux are using to continue operating as downstream distros of RHEL. Instead, if I'm reading this correctly it means Oracle Linux will essentially be forking from RHEL past 9.2. There were essentially three options before Oracle when Red Hat made their license change:
That they've chosen the third options is kind of fascinating to me, and to understand why you'd probably need to understand how enterprise database support works. The Oracle databases I see day to day are massive, and they drive practically all of a company's core operations. Unanticipated downtime is fucking expensive, so these companies are willing to pay a lot for top-tier support (not like I think Oracle Support is actually good, mind you, but that's a whole other topic). The DBAs running these databases don't want to deal with any headaches whatsoever, so they're only going to install Oracle on approved operating systems. They can't afford to have Oracle say "nope, sorry, unsupported platform" during an outage.
For a couple decades now, the supported Linux platforms for Oracle Database have been RHEL, SLES and Oracle Linux. Obviously Oracle Linux will remain on that list, and I doubt SLES is going anywhere either (it tends to be popular in Europe), but does RHEL drop off the list in future? Does Oracle think they can actually convert RHEL installs to Oracle Linux installs at customer sites? Or does RHEL stay on the list but become the red-headed step-child? Either way, this feels like an attempt by Oracle to erode the value of Red Hat's platform. It'll be interesting to see how it plays out.
I was actually kind of hoping for the second option, if only so that it would be Oracle footing the legal bill to establish a precedent. That Oracle didn't choose this option may indicate that Red Hat's coercive license wrapper ("if you exercise your open source rights to redistribute, we'll close your account") is actually an effective and legal end-run around open source licenses. I don't want that to be the case.
Yeah the historical precedents were all Oracle giving Red Hat the finger and Red Hat going "sure, we won't go after you" because... well... would you wanna get into a lawsuit war with Oracle? They look at the legal system as a revenue stream.
I totally wouldn't/do not expect an Oracle fork. I expected they'd just continue on as always. That's probably also bad news for Red Hat tbh.
Frankly as a layman I don't see any other reason than Oracle DB support to not just use good old Debian and forget about this licencing bullshit.