this post was submitted on 07 Sep 2023
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About a million people aged below 50 die of cancer annually, a study says, projecting another 21 percent rise by 2030.

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[–] [email protected] 114 points 1 year ago (16 children)

I think a lot of it is increase in diagnostic capabilities.

[–] [email protected] 32 points 1 year ago (15 children)

Ah yes, the significantly higher diagnostic capabilities of death by cancer

[–] [email protected] 77 points 1 year ago (1 children)

This article kind of made a mess of the numbers. At one point it suggests the mortality rate increased, but that’s not what the actual research shows.

From OG article: “Our study showed that the global morbidity of early-onset cancer increased from 1990 to 2019, while mortality and DALYs slightly decreased”

https://bmjoncology.bmj.com/content/2/1/e000049

The vast majority of the raw numbers increasing is because of the word population going from 5.3 billion to 7.75 billion in that same time. The next cause does seem to be diagnostic ability, especially when looking at what cancers saw the biggest increase.

[–] [email protected] 14 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (2 children)

So, correct me if I'm wrong, but the actual number when speaking relative to population growth would be:

180% / (7.75 Billion / 5.3 Billion) = 123.1%

So it's actually only a 23% increase, relatively.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago (1 children)

This article is so misleading.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

Yeah. The unfortunate truth about science news reporting is that usually it's not sensational, so they need to play things up for clicks and ad revenue. A lot of the time it ends up in somewhat misleading semi-truths like this.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago

That's correct.

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