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The trajectory is such that current L2 70B models are easily beating 3.5 and are approaching GPT4 performance - an A6000 can run them comfortably and this is a few months only after release.
Nah the trajectory is not in favor of proprietary, especially since they will have to dumb down due to alignment more and more
https://www.anyscale.com/blog/llama-2-is-about-as-factually-accurate-as-gpt-4-for-summaries-and-is-30x-cheaper?trk=feed_main-feed-card_feed-article-content
An A6000 ranges between $4500 and $7000 . We are a long long way from reaching efficiency on affordable consumer grade hardware.
A 30B model which will be fine for specialized tasks runs on a 3090 or any modern mac today.
We are months away from being affordable at current trajectory
Which modern Mac are you talking about and how much does that cost? Again, I doubt any of the opensource 30B models can compete even with ChatGPT 3.5. Which is the point I started with earlier.
Seems to me like you are riding this whole efficiency thing on nothing more than hopium.
I think at this point we are arguing belief.
I actually work with this stuff daily and there is a number of 30B models that are exceeding chatGPT for specific tasks such as coding or content generation, especially when enhanced with a lora.
airoboros-33b1gpt4-1.4.SuperHOT-8k for example comfortably outputs > 10 tokens/s on a 3090 and beats GPT-3.5 on writing stories, probably because it’s uncensored. It’s also got 8k context instead of 4.
Several recent LLama 2 based models exceed chatgpt on coding and classification tasks and are approaching GPT4 territory. Google bard has already been clobbered into a pulp.
The speed of advances is stunning.
M- architecture macs can run large LLMs via llama.cpp because of unified memory interface - in fact a recent macbook air with 64GB can comfortably run most models just fine. Even notebook AMD GPUs with shared memory have started running generative AI in the last week.
How much does this cost?
You will answer any and every question but this.
My points still stand