this post was submitted on 21 Jan 2025
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Ukraine
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If Russia wins, they will we see the mass murder from Bucha all over Ukraine. Since Russias war goal is to conquer all of Ukraine, we are going to see that on a much larger scale. For Ukraine that means defeat means death and fighting means probable death, but a chance of making it out alive. So Ukraine will fight to the end with or without aid.
Russia is only going to negotiate, if it believes that victory is impossible, so making a deal is cheaper then continueing the fight. That is obvious, as Russia started the war itself. That is why sending aid is a good idea. If Russia believes that conquering all of Ukraine is too expensive, a deal becomes cheaper then continueing the war.