this post was submitted on 11 Nov 2024
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Data is Beautiful

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[โ€“] [email protected] 7 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago) (1 children)

Since this entire original post is about the overall popular vote, when I said "did better" I meant in regard to number of votes in those states. But Trump did even better. My point is that the "missing Dem votes" illustrated from the OP were almost all from states other than the key swing states, and didn't ultimately matter due to the electoral college. In the key swing states, Harris got nearly as many or in some cases even more than Biden in 2020. Trump just got even more.

Michigan is the sole swing state in which Harris would have defeated Trump if she had gotten Biden's turnout in 2020. In all other key swing states, even with Biden's 2020 turnout, Harris would have lost to Trump's 2024 turnout. She still would have lost the electoral college.

Wisconsin

Biden 2020: 1.63 million

Harris 2024: 1.667 million

Trump 2024: 1.697 million

Michigan

Biden 2020: 2.804 million

Harris 2024: 2.72 million

Trump 2024: 2.802 million

Georgia

Biden 2020: 2.473 million

Harris 2024: 2.543 million

Trump 2024: 2.66 million

Pennsylvania

Biden 2020: 3.459 million

Harris 2024: 3.352 million

Trump 2024: 3.491 million

[โ€“] [email protected] 1 points 4 days ago

Thanks for the break-down.