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this post was submitted on 19 Sep 2024
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Maybe. The people who have always said 30 years were scientists and engineers. Those now saying 5 to 10 years are VC backed startups.
Progress is definitely being made but I'll believe the optimists when I see the results.
It's scientists and engineers saying it, it may also be VCs, but 5-10 is the official line from engineers.
The bottom line is this, maybe one of these startups or smaller reactor designs will work, you never know. But at the end of the day, ITER is scheduled to be completed in 2034, and at that scale, it will be net energy positive, there's no doubt.