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The theory isn't the statistic. The statistic is true. The theory is that there is a concentrated effort to replace white culture, values and people. In reality, white people have just been well off long enough that our culture has shifted away from having a ton of children.
Plus, the entire premise is predicated on the idea that having fewer white people, relative to other ethnic groups, is a bad thing. It's not, but the people who give this theory the time of day are racist, so they see it as a problem. It is not.
I've seen racists online whining about media showing mixed race couples as part of their conspiracy theories. But it requires a bunch of racist assumptions to say that children there are not carrying on their parents' culture and traditions.