this post was submitted on 01 Sep 2024
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It's such a long shot that's based on three things.
Red Bull continues to struggle.
McLaren stays on form.
Ferrari/Mercedes
A driver's title almost seems impossible at this point. All it takes is one good Verstappen race and it's all over.
That is the main issue, because McLaren is not in a great form right now. They must reduce a gap that nobody had ever managed to reduce in the history of the sport. They have to deliver 10/10 every weekend, they have to be clinical. McLaren is nowhere near to that.
There also are more races than ever before. On average he needs to catch 7 points per race. That's difficult but doable with the current point structure and amount of races left
That's the point. He needs to perform at 100%, but he isn't doing that. He's making mistakes, and so is his team, despite having one of the best or blatantly the best car for many races now. So far, McLaren has thrown away more opportunities than they have capitalized on. Norris isn't even the fastest McLaren driver anymore. I don't see them pulling this off.
And their car on straights is so much faster than red bull. Can't remember what races are left though.