this post was submitted on 15 Jul 2024
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[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) (1 children)

This is pure delusion. A rushed primary now does not in any way guarantee a win. The process will be chaotic and uncertain. The army of shitty oped writers will go to work asking "what do we really know about ____". They'll dig up innocuous shit from their past that make good headlines. After all of that the favourable a and hypothetical polls will not count for much. Acting like Biden stepping down is a sure way to win had no basis in reality.

Should he have announced he wasn't going to run a year ago ? Yes. But we're past that now.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 4 months ago (1 children)

This is pure delusion. A rushed primary now does not in any way guarantee a win.

Failing to run a primary doesn't guarantee a win either. All it guarantees is that the incumbent gets less screen time before the election.

The process will be chaotic and uncertain.

I don't pretend to foresee specific details, but the general arc of history is as apparent as it has been for the last 8 years.

The army of shitty oped writers will go to work asking "what do we really know about ____". They'll dig up innocuous shit from their past that make good headlines. After all of that the favourable a and hypothetical polls will not count for much.

Op-eds and headlines are bullshit. Watch the DNC chairperson to see where the party is headed: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/dnc-chair-claims-biden-put-on-a-masterclass-during-error-laden-press-conference/ar-BB1pRTxA

Acting like Biden stepping down is a sure way to win had no basis in reality.

Likewise, keeping your head in the sand and pretending that Biden could still win in November.

Should he have announced he wasn't going to run a year ago ? Yes. But we're past that now.

No we aren't, the convention isn't until September. The DNC could announce a different candidate today if they wanted, but they don't want to.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 4 months ago

I think the DNC does, but only if Biden steps down. A hostile takeover would be pretty damaging. There's lots of insiders and major political players giving non-answers because they're not idiots, they saw the debate, they see the polling, they know he's dragging down other candidates. But under current rules, if Biden wants the nomination no one can do anything about it, so they're hedging their bets because it's very likely grandpa's ego will force them to campaign for him after all.