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Do you just not understand how elections work? You don't "win" before votes are cast.
Are you being wilfully pedantic, or do you not know that it's possible to tell someone is ahead in a contest?
Polls are worthless now and response rates are too low to matter.
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/what-can-election-2024-polls-really-tell-us/
Or, is this just your gut talking?
Polls have significant predictive power, especially when you poll reportedly and/or aggregate them. Which is why all political campaigns, R or D, spend literally millions running their own polling. Moreover, it's now July, the first convention is literally coming up within days, so the excuse of being "far out from the election" no longer holds.
Totally agree with your last statement. I think I was just saying we'll have to wait and see how this turns out.
winning in the court of public opinion
Which public? That's their point. It's a snapshot of people that do enter polls. I'm too fuckin busy to take time out of my day for that. But I will vote.
the republican voters, obviously.