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Russia lacks troops, ammunition for major offensive in Ukraine, NATO official tells Reuters
(kyivindependent.com)
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I mean, Russia hasn't succeeded though, been sanctioned by many nations, and lots of nations are supplying gear to the defenders. That's not really "getting away with it" and I'm not sure it sends the message to China that you think it does.
They dom't have to be successful to be used to normalize taking over weaker powers. The world not actively opposing the attempt is still normalizing.
The world is actively opposing the attempt though.
Maybe I should have said directly or militarily.
Yes, they are actively supporting Ukraine through training and supplying arms. They are not actively opposing the occupation with their own troops directly on the battlefield.
What it implies is that China must be better prepared. It may not be a cake walk in the same way Russia or would be, but do long as China is well prepared for the invasion, it will help smooth things over.