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I think that analysis is missing an important fact: Yes, Trump's mental decline is visible to anyone taking a closer look. He is a liar who just as much as Biden, more even, can just get things wrong unintenionally on top of that. But one thing that is important about him, is that he is a narcissist. Projecting charisma and using bullshit to shield himself is literally what his pathology and the very core of his unconscious mind is built on, it will be the very last thing to go. That is why the "Biden is old" narrative is still working with people - both are old, both are showing signs of it, but Trump can keep up the optics, because that is the very essence of what his life and psyche is revolving around.
I had a very quick look at post-debate rallies of both Trump and Biden. (Sidenote - where was that energy during the debate, Biden? Your voice actually had proper inflection and power, what happened there?) Trump spewed bullshit, of course, lies, falsehoods, nonsense. But he knew how to interact with the crowd, he knew how to speak, he knew how to adjust his message and demeanor between talking to his supporters and talking to a more general audience. Biden was competent enough with his speech - more competent than during the debate for sure - but he still felt like someone who had lacking dynamism. And in light of the debate that just happened, his enthusiastic supporters and his hype-people trying to build him up felt... surreal to be 100% honest. The chants of "You can do it" did not feel like a powerful message of competence, but like cheering someone on out of pity. His message in light of the current situation also felt confused. Saying both (not direct quotes, from memory) "I know I am not the youngest", semi-acknowledging that there were problems, while also saying that "Trump is too dangerous" - that definitely sparked the immediate thought of "Yes, Trump is genuinely dangerous. So why are we running with you as our only hope of defeating him?"
I understand, talking about things right now is also about optics, it's about trying to convince others, and yourself, to go vote, to believe in your chosen team and candidate and all that. But lets not delude ourselves, because that idea of Biden beating Trump on the sole basis of being not Trump has led to this situation. The optics of the mental decline of both candidates are different, and the pushed narrative of Biden being old is far from effectless.
That's a good analysis, and I would usually fully agree. I may still do, but it doesn't shake my gut feeling it was deliberate. He was sharp the day before and the day after, but not during the 1 hour that mattered. I don't think it was an accident.
Now Harris uses the opportunity to get into the spotlight and get some symphaty. While it looks disastrous at the moment, I think it will have a positive effect on the campaign. If it were 2 month until elections I would be worried, 4 month out there's enough room to use it as an advantage that it's more powerful than "It isn't Trump"
But yeah, I might just be making the word how I want it to be.